中国流通经济
中國流通經濟
중국류통경제
China Business and Market
2015年
3期
24~31
,共null页
物流业 效率演化 超效率数据包络分析 视窗分析 影响因素
物流業 效率縯化 超效率數據包絡分析 視窗分析 影響因素
물류업 효솔연화 초효솔수거포락분석 시창분석 영향인소
logistics industry;efficiency evolution;super efficiency DEA;window analysis;influential factors
经济全球化背景下,经济大省既要积极参与国内经济体系分工,又要嵌入国际产业分工体系,这对区域流通能力提出了较高的要求。而物流业作为社会流通能力的核心,不仅是区域经济发展的加速器,也是推动产业结构转型升级的重要抓手。提升物流业效率,实现传统物流业向现代物流业转型,对于促进生产、拉动消费与调整产业结构,具有重要意义。运用基于超效率数据包络分析模型的视窗分析模型测算2005-2012年我国五个经济大省物流业效率值,并构建灰色综合关联度模型分析区域物流业效率演化发展影响因素可以发现,不同省份物流业效率演化规律差异显著,如广东物流业效率呈现“U”型演化趋势,江苏物流业效率呈现线性加速增长演化趋势,山东物流业效率呈现倒“V”型演化趋势,浙江物流业效率呈现平缓的倒“V”型演化趋势,河南物流业效率呈现斜“N”型演化趋势。物流业效率的核心影响因素存在区域差异,如对广东物流业效率影响最大的因素是城镇化;而同属长江三角洲经济圈的江苏和浙江的物流业效率最主要的影响因素都是人力资源;产业结构对山东省物流业效率的影响最大;影响河南省物流业效率最主要的因素是制度因素。因此,为有效提升经济大省物流业发展效率,在物流业全面对外开放形势下,各省应因地制宜采取相应的对策。
經濟全毬化揹景下,經濟大省既要積極參與國內經濟體繫分工,又要嵌入國際產業分工體繫,這對區域流通能力提齣瞭較高的要求。而物流業作為社會流通能力的覈心,不僅是區域經濟髮展的加速器,也是推動產業結構轉型升級的重要抓手。提升物流業效率,實現傳統物流業嚮現代物流業轉型,對于促進生產、拉動消費與調整產業結構,具有重要意義。運用基于超效率數據包絡分析模型的視窗分析模型測算2005-2012年我國五箇經濟大省物流業效率值,併構建灰色綜閤關聯度模型分析區域物流業效率縯化髮展影響因素可以髮現,不同省份物流業效率縯化規律差異顯著,如廣東物流業效率呈現“U”型縯化趨勢,江囌物流業效率呈現線性加速增長縯化趨勢,山東物流業效率呈現倒“V”型縯化趨勢,浙江物流業效率呈現平緩的倒“V”型縯化趨勢,河南物流業效率呈現斜“N”型縯化趨勢。物流業效率的覈心影響因素存在區域差異,如對廣東物流業效率影響最大的因素是城鎮化;而同屬長江三角洲經濟圈的江囌和浙江的物流業效率最主要的影響因素都是人力資源;產業結構對山東省物流業效率的影響最大;影響河南省物流業效率最主要的因素是製度因素。因此,為有效提升經濟大省物流業髮展效率,在物流業全麵對外開放形勢下,各省應因地製宜採取相應的對策。
경제전구화배경하,경제대성기요적겁삼여국내경제체계분공,우요감입국제산업분공체계,저대구역류통능력제출료교고적요구。이물류업작위사회류통능력적핵심,불부시구역경제발전적가속기,야시추동산업결구전형승급적중요조수。제승물류업효솔,실현전통물류업향현대물류업전형,대우촉진생산、랍동소비여조정산업결구,구유중요의의。운용기우초효솔수거포락분석모형적시창분석모형측산2005-2012년아국오개경제대성물류업효솔치,병구건회색종합관련도모형분석구역물류업효솔연화발전영향인소가이발현,불동성빈물류업효솔연화규률차이현저,여엄동물류업효솔정현“U”형연화추세,강소물류업효솔정현선성가속증장연화추세,산동물류업효솔정현도“V”형연화추세,절강물류업효솔정현평완적도“V”형연화추세,하남물류업효솔정현사“N”형연화추세。물류업효솔적핵심영향인소존재구역차이,여대엄동물류업효솔영향최대적인소시성진화;이동속장강삼각주경제권적강소화절강적물류업효솔최주요적영향인소도시인력자원;산업결구대산동성물류업효솔적영향최대;영향하남성물류업효솔최주요적인소시제도인소。인차,위유효제승경제대성물류업발전효솔,재물류업전면대외개방형세하,각성응인지제의채취상응적대책。
In the light of economic globalization,the economic big provinces should not only participate in domestic economic labor division,but also be involved in international labor division,which impose higher requirement on their capability for regional circulation. As the core of social circulation capability,logistics industry is not only the accelerator of regional economic development,but also the focus in promoting industrial restructure and upgrade. Improving the efficiency of logistics industry and realizing the transformation from traditional logistics industry to modern logistics industry is of great significance to promoting production,stimulating consumption and adjusting industrial structure. Based on the provincial panel data during 2005-2012,using super efficiency DEA window analysis method for analysis of China's 5 major economic province efficiency evolution of logistics industry,through the establishment of synthetic degree of grey incidence model,the author carry out the analysis on the influencing factors of regional logistics industry efficiency evolution. The results show that:the efficiency of the logistics industry in Guangdong presents "U" type evolution trend;Jiangsu logistics industry shows linear growth accelerated evolution trend;the efficiency of the logistics industry in Shandong presents an inverted"V"type evolution trend;the efficiency of the logistics industry in Zhejiang has an inverted"V"type gradual evolution trend;the efficiency of Henan logistics industry shows oblique "N" type evolution trend;the greatest impact factors to the efficiency of Guangdong,Shandong and Henan logistics industry is urbanization,industrial structure and institutional factor,respectively;but the most important influential factor of the efficiency of logistics industry in Jiangsu and Zhejiang are the human resources. So,to effectively improve the efficiency of logistics industry in the economic big provinces,every principle should adopt the suitable countermeasures in the light of opening up of logistics industry.