财经理论研究
財經理論研究
재경이론연구
Journal of Finance and Economics Theory
2015年
1期
14~20
,共null页
物化技术溢出 非物化技术溢出 经济波动
物化技術溢齣 非物化技術溢齣 經濟波動
물화기술일출 비물화기술일출 경제파동
embodied spillovers channels ; disembodied spillover channel; economic fluctuation
本文利用我国与主要贸易投资伙伴国1992~2012年的数据,运用ADF检验、约翰森协整检验等计量方法实证检验了以FDI和进口为代表的物化技术溢出及以专利和信息技术为代表的非物化技术溢出对我国经济波动的影响。实证结果显示:进口渠道技术冲击会加剧我国经济的波动;信息技术、专利和FDI渠道的技术冲击和国内自主创新可以减缓中国经济的波动,且非物化渠道技术冲击比物化渠道技术冲击对中国经济波动的影响更为显著,因此,我国应注重非物化渠道技术的引进、吸收和利用。
本文利用我國與主要貿易投資夥伴國1992~2012年的數據,運用ADF檢驗、約翰森協整檢驗等計量方法實證檢驗瞭以FDI和進口為代錶的物化技術溢齣及以專利和信息技術為代錶的非物化技術溢齣對我國經濟波動的影響。實證結果顯示:進口渠道技術遲擊會加劇我國經濟的波動;信息技術、專利和FDI渠道的技術遲擊和國內自主創新可以減緩中國經濟的波動,且非物化渠道技術遲擊比物化渠道技術遲擊對中國經濟波動的影響更為顯著,因此,我國應註重非物化渠道技術的引進、吸收和利用。
본문이용아국여주요무역투자화반국1992~2012년적수거,운용ADF검험、약한삼협정검험등계량방법실증검험료이FDI화진구위대표적물화기술일출급이전리화신식기술위대표적비물화기술일출대아국경제파동적영향。실증결과현시:진구거도기술충격회가극아국경제적파동;신식기술、전리화FDI거도적기술충격화국내자주창신가이감완중국경제적파동,차비물화거도기술충격비물화거도기술충격대중국경제파동적영향경위현저,인차,아국응주중비물화거도기술적인진、흡수화이용。
This paper based on the trade data from 1992 to 2012, using ADF test, Johansen cointegra- tion test econometrics, aims to empirically analyzes the influence of embodied spillovers channels which re- presented by FDI with import and disembodied spillovers channel which represented by patent and infor- mation on economic fluctuations in our country. It is found that import spillover will accelerate economic fluctuation in china; communication spillover, Patent technology spillover, FDI technology spillover and Domestic technology innovation can reduce China's economic fluctuation, what's more, the impact from embodied spillovers channel is bigger than disembodied spillovers channel on China's economic fluctua- tion, so we should pay more attention to disembodied spillovers channel.