CAJ | 학술논문

扩大对其他金砖国家出口可为中国提供良好的市场保障。文章基于2000-2013年UNComtrade相关数据，运用修正的恒定市场份额模型（CMS）针对中国对其他金砖国家出口增长因素进行研究。结果发现，市场需求引致效应和出口价格竞争效应始终是中国对其他金砖国家出口增长的主要因素，出口供给与进口需求错位导致出口结构效应较低．．印度和俄罗斯市场需求扩大促使市场需求引致效应对出口增长贡献持续增长：对巴西出口增长经历了一个由出口价格竞争效应向市场需求引致效应转变过程：对南非出口增长以出口价格竞争效应为主。文章最后提出相关政策建议，皆在为进一步扩大中国对其他金砖国家出口规模、提高出口质量提供参考。
확대대기타금전국가출구가위중국제공량호적시장보장。문장기우2000-2013년UNComtrade상관수거，운용수정적항정시장빈액모형（CMS）침대중국대기타금전국가출구증장인소진행연구。결과발현，시장수구인치효응화출구개격경쟁효응시종시중국대기타금전국가출구증장적주요인소，출구공급여진구수구착위도치출구결구효응교저．．인도화아라사시장수구확대촉사시장수구인치효응대출구증장공헌지속증장：대파서출구증장경력료일개유출구개격경쟁효응향시장수구인치효응전변과정：대남비출구증장이출구개격경쟁효응위주。문장최후제출상관정책건의，개재위진일보확대중국대기타금전국가출구규모、제고출구질량제공삼고。
Expanding exports to other BRIC countries can provide a good market guarantee for China. Based on 2000-2013 trade data, this paper emphatically decomposes the growth factors of exports by using the revised CMS model. It finds that market demand effect and export price competition effect are the main factors of China＇s exports to other BRIC countries, and the export structure effect caused by the dislocation between export supply and import demand is low. The market demand of India and Russia pulls export growth; the growth factor of exports from China to Brazil has undergone a process of transformation from export price competition to market demand; export price competition effect is the main factor for the growth of exports of China to South Africa. And finally, some relevant suggestions are put forward, so as to provide a reference for expanding the export scale and improving the quality of exports.