CAJ | 학술논문

本文借鉴Codeland-Tavlor模型.构建一个产业集聚影响环境污染的理论模型.在此基础上.利用2004-2011年我国30个省市（自治区）的面板数据.采用门槛面板回归方法.实证分析产业集聚与环境污染之间的关系。实证结果表明.产业集聚与环境污染之间关系并非简单的线性关系.产业集聚对环境污染的影响具有显著的门槛特征.在产业集聚水平低于门槛值时.产业集聚将加剧环境污染;而在产业集聚水平高于门槛值时.产业集聚将有利于改善环境污染。此外.外商直接投资和科技创新在一定程度上改善我国环境污染.“污染天堂假说”在我国并不成立.而环境规制并没有改善我国环境污染.且能源消费不是环境污染加剧的主要因素。因此.应客观看待产业集聚在环境污染中的作用.动态处理产业集聚与环境污染的关系.在产业集聚水平发展过程中.应针对不同地区制定差异化的政策。对于产业集聚水平较低的地区.应在采取有效措施提高产业集聚水平的同时.选择引进外商直接投资和更加严厉的环境规制等政策组合.以改善环境污染.避免“先污染再治理”;在产业集聚水平较高的地区.积极鼓励产业科技创新.优化产业集聚方向.引导向高端研发与设计等高附加值产业集聚发展;同时.在积极引资过程中.引导外资向清洁产业转移.注重引进具有环保技术优势的外资企业.运用国外先进技术和环保标准.实现引资与环保的双重目标。
본문차감Codeland-Tavlor모형.구건일개산업집취영향배경오염적이론모형.재차기출상.이용2004-2011년아국30개성시（자치구）적면판수거.채용문함면판회귀방법.실증분석산업집취여배경오염지간적관계。실증결과표명.산업집취여배경오염지간관계병비간단적선성관계.산업집취대배경오염적영향구유현저적문함특정.재산업집취수평저우문함치시.산업집취장가극배경오염;이재산업집취수평고우문함치시.산업집취장유리우개선배경오염。차외.외상직접투자화과기창신재일정정도상개선아국배경오염.“오염천당가설”재아국병불성립.이배경규제병몰유개선아국배경오염.차능원소비불시배경오염가극적주요인소。인차.응객관간대산업집취재배경오염중적작용.동태처리산업집취여배경오염적관계.재산업집취수평발전과정중.응침대불동지구제정차이화적정책。대우산업집취수평교저적지구.응재채취유효조시제고산업집취수평적동시.선택인진외상직접투자화경가엄려적배경규제등정책조합.이개선배경오염.피면“선오염재치리”;재산업집취수평교고적지구.적겁고려산업과기창신.우화산업집취방향.인도향고단연발여설계등고부가치산업집취발전;동시.재적겁인자과정중.인도외자향청길산업전이.주중인진구유배보기술우세적외자기업.운용국외선진기술화배보표준.실현인자여배보적쌍중목표。
Based on the Copeland-Taylor model, this paper constructs a theory model on industrial agglomeration＇ s affection towards environmental pollution. Then it draws on the panel data from Chinese 30 provinces during 2004 to 2011 and uses the threshold model to explore the relationship between industry agglomeration and environmental pollution. The major finding of the study is that the relationship between industrial agglomeration and environmental pollution cannot be explained by simple linear; on the contrary, it has significant threshold effects. Industrial agglomeration can bring significant negative effects on environmental pollution in low- agglomeration stage while it can dramatically reduce environmental pollution level in high-agglomeration stage in China. What is more, we found that, to some extent, foreign direct investment and science innovation can help to reduce environmental pollution. The ＇ Pollution Haven Hypothesis＇ does not hold in China and environmental regulation has no obvious effect so far. Energy consumption is not the major cause of environmental pollution in China. Based on all those points, we should be objective when we take measures to deal with environmental problem. In detail, first, we should dynamically deal with the relationship between industry agglomeration and environmental pollution. Second, it is urgent to take measures to improve the level of industrial agglomeration in low-agglomeration area. At the same time, we should encourage foreign direct investment and issue drastic environmental regulation in order to avoid ＂pollution first and treatment second＂. Third, we should encourage scientific technological innovation towards the R＆D, high-design and high value-added industrial agglomeration in high-agglomeration area. It is necessary to encourage the entry of those foreign- invested enterprises with technical advantages in environmental protection in order to realize the dual purposes of investment and environmental protection.