地域研究与开发
地域研究與開髮
지역연구여개발
Areal Research and Development
2015年
1期
31~36
,共null页
李秋颖 方创琳 王少剑 王洋
李鞦穎 方創琳 王少劍 王洋
리추영 방창림 왕소검 왕양
人口城镇化 空间城镇化 耦合协调度模型 协调发展类型 山东省
人口城鎮化 空間城鎮化 耦閤協調度模型 協調髮展類型 山東省
인구성진화 공간성진화 우합협조도모형 협조발전류형 산동성
population urbanization; space urbanization; the coupling coordination degree model; the coordinated development type; Shandong Province
构建了人口城镇化与空间城镇化综合指标体系,借助耦合协调度模型对山东省1985-2012年人口城镇化和空间城镇化耦合协调发展状况与演进趋势进行了实证分析。结果表明:城镇人口的增加、城市建成区面积的扩张、工业的迅速发展和居民可支配收入水平的提高是山东省城镇化快速发展的主要原因;根据耦合协调度可将山东省城镇化发展划分为3个阶段,即不协调阶段(1985-1989年)、基本协调阶段(1990-2005年)和高级协调阶段(2006-2012年),城镇化协调类型从严重不协调-空间城镇化滞后到高级协调-人口城镇化滞后;进而以山东省2011年县域为研究单元,对县域城镇化水平的空间格局和协调类型进行了分析,县域城镇化水平区域格局严重不均衡,空间城镇化水平普遍高于人口城镇化水平。山东省处于空间城镇化快于人口城镇化、人口城镇化相对滞后阶段,城镇土地利用集约度不高。
構建瞭人口城鎮化與空間城鎮化綜閤指標體繫,藉助耦閤協調度模型對山東省1985-2012年人口城鎮化和空間城鎮化耦閤協調髮展狀況與縯進趨勢進行瞭實證分析。結果錶明:城鎮人口的增加、城市建成區麵積的擴張、工業的迅速髮展和居民可支配收入水平的提高是山東省城鎮化快速髮展的主要原因;根據耦閤協調度可將山東省城鎮化髮展劃分為3箇階段,即不協調階段(1985-1989年)、基本協調階段(1990-2005年)和高級協調階段(2006-2012年),城鎮化協調類型從嚴重不協調-空間城鎮化滯後到高級協調-人口城鎮化滯後;進而以山東省2011年縣域為研究單元,對縣域城鎮化水平的空間格跼和協調類型進行瞭分析,縣域城鎮化水平區域格跼嚴重不均衡,空間城鎮化水平普遍高于人口城鎮化水平。山東省處于空間城鎮化快于人口城鎮化、人口城鎮化相對滯後階段,城鎮土地利用集約度不高。
구건료인구성진화여공간성진화종합지표체계,차조우합협조도모형대산동성1985-2012년인구성진화화공간성진화우합협조발전상황여연진추세진행료실증분석。결과표명:성진인구적증가、성시건성구면적적확장、공업적신속발전화거민가지배수입수평적제고시산동성성진화쾌속발전적주요원인;근거우합협조도가장산동성성진화발전화분위3개계단,즉불협조계단(1985-1989년)、기본협조계단(1990-2005년)화고급협조계단(2006-2012년),성진화협조류형종엄중불협조-공간성진화체후도고급협조-인구성진화체후;진이이산동성2011년현역위연구단원,대현역성진화수평적공간격국화협조류형진행료분석,현역성진화수평구역격국엄중불균형,공간성진화수평보편고우인구성진화수평。산동성처우공간성진화쾌우인구성진화、인구성진화상대체후계단,성진토지이용집약도불고。
The paper aims to examine the coordinate development between population urbanization and space urbanization in Shandong Province using entropy method. The research shows that the increase of urban population, the rapid development of the urban area expansion, industry promotion and the improvement of people' s disposable income were the main reasons for the rapid development of urbanization in Shandong Province. Through time series calculation, it could be divided into 3 stages, unbalanced development stage (1985-1989), balanced develop- ment stage (1990-2005), and superiorly balanced development stage (2006-2012). Both subsystems evolve from the seriously unbalanced development with space urbanization hindered into superiorly balanced development with population urbanization lagged. Taking county unit as research unit, it presented that distribution of urbanization level was in disequilibrium in Shandong Province in 2011. The results show that the space urbanization level is generally higher than population urbanization level. The land use intensity is in a low level. It is important to recognize the spatial-temporal coupling law of relationship between population urbanization and space urbanization for achieving the goal of healthy urbanization. The results of this study also offer a scientific method for studying the development of population urbanization and space urbanization.