CAJ | 학술논문

科学确定风险,而人们感知风险。许多影响社会稳定的风险之所以最终演化为严重的社会冲突,并非由于风险巨大而难以遏止和化解,而在很大程度上是根源于不同主体的风险感知差异,以及由差异导致的应对策略和行为。基于上述判断和风险感知、社会冲突等理论,本文提出了一个关于我国群体性事件发生机理的解释框架,其核心内容是＂风险感知差异→应对策略和行为→冲突爆发和升级＂的过程链条。文章以＂昆明PX事件＂为案例对该解释框架进行运用和验证,最后对这类群体性事件的综合治理问题进行了深入探讨。
과학학정풍험,이인문감지풍험。허다영향사회은정적풍험지소이최종연화위엄중적사회충돌,병비유우풍험거대이난이알지화화해,이재흔대정도상시근원우불동주체적풍험감지차이,이급유차이도치적응대책략화행위。기우상술판단화풍험감지、사회충돌등이론,본문제출료일개관우아국군체성사건발생궤리적해석광가,기핵심내용시＂풍험감지차이→응대책략화행위→충돌폭발화승급＂적과정련조。문장이＂곤명PX사건＂위안례대해해석광가진행운용화험증,최후대저류군체성사건적종합치리문제진행료심입탐토。
Science determines risk,and people perceive risk. Many risks which affect social stability eventually evolve into serious social conflicts,not because the risks are difficult to stem and resolve,but they are largely rooted in risk perception from different stakeholders,as well as coping strategies and behaviors. This paper proposes an explanatory framework for the mechanism of mass incidents in China based on the above judgment and some theories,and the framework＇s core content is the process＂risk perception and its differences→coping strategies and behaviors→outbreak and escalation of the conflict. ＂We apply the explanatory framework into ＂Kunming PX incident＂and prove it to be effective and valid. In the end,we carry on a deep discussion on the integrated risk governance of mass incidents.