CAJ | 학술논문

共同建设21世纪“海上丝绸之路”是推动我国新一轮对外开放、促进沿线国家共同发展的重大战略，国际贸易是该战略的基础和纽带。本文利用随机前沿引力模型研究了“海上丝绸之路”主要沿线国家间的贸易潜力，并采用一步法分析了影响因素。研究表明，“海上丝绸之路”的贸易效率在不断提升，中国对“海上丝绸之路”的出口仍有很大潜力。为进一步提高“海上丝绸之路”贸易效率，应加快推进自贸区谈判，降低关税和非关税壁垒，提高贸易便利化，加强海运互联互通，改善交通基础设施，并注重金融风险防范的合作。
공동건설21세기“해상사주지로”시추동아국신일륜대외개방、촉진연선국가공동발전적중대전략，국제무역시해전략적기출화뉴대。본문이용수궤전연인력모형연구료“해상사주지로”주요연선국가간적무역잠력，병채용일보법분석료영향인소。연구표명，“해상사주지로”적무역효솔재불단제승，중국대“해상사주지로”적출구잉유흔대잠력。위진일보제고“해상사주지로”무역효솔，응가쾌추진자무구담판，강저관세화비관세벽루，제고무역편리화，가강해운호련호통，개선교통기출설시，병주중금융풍험방범적합작。
To seek joint establishment of the 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road is an important strategy to promote the new round of China＇s opening up and to realize common development with countries along the Road, and trade is the foundation and vital link of this strategy. This paper estimates trade potential and trade efficiency of countries along the Maritime Silk Road with each other using the Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model, and analyzes the exogenous determinants of the trade efficiency based on One-step Estimation. The results indicate that trade efficiency of the Maritime Silk Road appears on an increasing trend, and China still has great potential in terms of export growth with other countries along the Road. In order to further improve trade efficiency, China should accelerate its regional economic integration, reduce tariff and non-tariff barriers, improve the level of trade facilitation, increase maritime connectivity, promote transport infrastructure, and strengthen cooperation on the prevention of financial risks.