CAJ | 학술논문

利用2001-2006年通用设备制造业等六个行业的数据，本文以bootstrap技术进步指数度量技术创新，考察对中国企业出口行为的影响。多元logit回归结果显示，相对于不出口，技术创新对企业持续出12、间断出口和新出口均有促进作用。相对于间断出口，技术创新提高企业持续出口的概率。这一结果在各种稳健性检验中没有变化。对技术创新边际效应的估算表明，技术进步指数每上升一个单位，可提高企业持续出口的概率2．5％。
이용2001-2006년통용설비제조업등륙개행업적수거，본문이bootstrap기술진보지수도량기술창신，고찰대중국기업출구행위적영향。다원logit회귀결과현시，상대우불출구，기술창신대기업지속출12、간단출구화신출구균유촉진작용。상대우간단출구，기술창신제고기업지속출구적개솔。저일결과재각충은건성검험중몰유변화。대기술창신변제효응적고산표명，기술진보지수매상승일개단위，가제고기업지속출구적개솔2．5％。
Using industrial data of six industries over 2001-2006, this paper adopts the bootstrap technical change index to measure technological innovation and examines its impact on firms＇ export behavior in China. The results of multi-logit regression show that technological innovation increases the probability of firms to become persistent exporters instead of non-exporters, and increases the probability of firms to become continuous exporters instead of intermittent exporters. By calculating the marginal effect of technological innovation, this paper finds that one unit increase in technical change index can help to raise the probability of a firm to be a persistent exporter by 2.5%.