国际贸易问题
國際貿易問題
국제무역문제
Journal of International Trade
2015年
2期
84~93
,共null页
比较优势 比较优势陷阱 NRCA指数 经济增长
比較優勢 比較優勢陷阱 NRCA指數 經濟增長
비교우세 비교우세함정 NRCA지수 경제증장
Comparative advantage; Comparative advantage trap; NRCA In- dex; Economic growth
比较优势理论曾对我国各地区出口导向型的开放经济产生了深远的影响,但是传统的贸易格局似乎难逃“比较优势陷阱”的怪圈。本文以比较优势、贸易条件、经济增长的相关理论为依据,对黑龙江省现有的比较优势、贸易条件以及经济增长状况进行定量分析,在此基础上采用计量统计方法对比较优势、贸易条件以及经济增长的关系进行全面研究。研究表明:黑龙江省外贸出口中,服装类商品的比较优势不断扩大,钢铁和农产品的比较劣势相对明显;黑龙江省对外贸易并未出现比较优势陷阱的总体特征,但服装类商品面临比较优势陷阱的严重威胁,机电类商品掉入比较优势陷阱的可能性则较小。
比較優勢理論曾對我國各地區齣口導嚮型的開放經濟產生瞭深遠的影響,但是傳統的貿易格跼似乎難逃“比較優勢陷阱”的怪圈。本文以比較優勢、貿易條件、經濟增長的相關理論為依據,對黑龍江省現有的比較優勢、貿易條件以及經濟增長狀況進行定量分析,在此基礎上採用計量統計方法對比較優勢、貿易條件以及經濟增長的關繫進行全麵研究。研究錶明:黑龍江省外貿齣口中,服裝類商品的比較優勢不斷擴大,鋼鐵和農產品的比較劣勢相對明顯;黑龍江省對外貿易併未齣現比較優勢陷阱的總體特徵,但服裝類商品麵臨比較優勢陷阱的嚴重威脅,機電類商品掉入比較優勢陷阱的可能性則較小。
비교우세이론증대아국각지구출구도향형적개방경제산생료심원적영향,단시전통적무역격국사호난도“비교우세함정”적괴권。본문이비교우세、무역조건、경제증장적상관이론위의거,대흑룡강성현유적비교우세、무역조건이급경제증장상황진행정량분석,재차기출상채용계량통계방법대비교우세、무역조건이급경제증장적관계진행전면연구。연구표명:흑룡강성외무출구중,복장류상품적비교우세불단확대,강철화농산품적비교열세상대명현;흑룡강성대외무역병미출현비교우세함정적총체특정,단복장류상품면림비교우세함정적엄중위협,궤전류상품도입비교우세함정적가능성칙교소。
The comparative advantage theory has had a far-reaching influence on the export-oriented economy, but the traditional trade pattern always ends in the vicious circle of the comparative advantage trap. Based on the relevant theories of comparative advantage, terms of trade and economic growth, this paper makes a quantitative analysis of Heilongjiang' s foreign trade status, and then conducts a comprehensive analysis of the relationships between the comparative advantage, the terms of trade and the economic growth with econometrics methods. The conclusions are as follows: in the foreign export of Heilongjiang province, clothing products have a strong comparative advantage, while agricultural products and iron products have an obvious comparative disadvantage; there is no clear evidence of the general characteristic of the comparative advantage trap in Heilongjiang, but the clothing products are under a severe threat of the trap; the mechanical and electrical goods are unlikely to fall into the comparative advantage trap.