生态经济
生態經濟
생태경제
Ecological Economy
2015年
3期
84~88
,共null页
海岛县 产业结构 升级过程 三轴图 SSM模型
海島縣 產業結構 升級過程 三軸圖 SSM模型
해도현 산업결구 승급과정 삼축도 SSM모형
island county; industrial structure; upgrading process; tri-axial figure; SSM model
使用中国10个重要海岛县2000－2011年的三次产业及GDP数据,利用“三轴图”与三次产业结构重心轨迹法分析海岛县近12年来内部产业结构的变化趋势;运用SSM（偏离—份额分析）模型及其计算公式对海岛县的经济产业结构进行比较。结果表明：东山、玉环、舟山表现出国民经济工业化由第一产业占统治地位发展到第二产业占统治地位的产业结构升级模式,而长岛、长海、岱山、洞头、南澳、平潭、嵊泗则表现出第三产业在一定时期内超过第二产业先发展起来的产业结构升级模式。海岛县的三次产业在竞争力、发展水平和今后预期成长性上有很大区别。综合分析结果,将我国10个海岛县分为四个经济类型,并据此,给出未来海岛县产业结构发展的建议。
使用中國10箇重要海島縣2000－2011年的三次產業及GDP數據,利用“三軸圖”與三次產業結構重心軌跡法分析海島縣近12年來內部產業結構的變化趨勢;運用SSM（偏離—份額分析）模型及其計算公式對海島縣的經濟產業結構進行比較。結果錶明：東山、玉環、舟山錶現齣國民經濟工業化由第一產業佔統治地位髮展到第二產業佔統治地位的產業結構升級模式,而長島、長海、岱山、洞頭、南澳、平潭、嵊泗則錶現齣第三產業在一定時期內超過第二產業先髮展起來的產業結構升級模式。海島縣的三次產業在競爭力、髮展水平和今後預期成長性上有很大區彆。綜閤分析結果,將我國10箇海島縣分為四箇經濟類型,併據此,給齣未來海島縣產業結構髮展的建議。
사용중국10개중요해도현2000－2011년적삼차산업급GDP수거,이용“삼축도”여삼차산업결구중심궤적법분석해도현근12년래내부산업결구적변화추세;운용SSM（편리—빈액분석）모형급기계산공식대해도현적경제산업결구진행비교。결과표명：동산、옥배、주산표현출국민경제공업화유제일산업점통치지위발전도제이산업점통치지위적산업결구승급모식,이장도、장해、대산、동두、남오、평담、승사칙표현출제삼산업재일정시기내초과제이산업선발전기래적산업결구승급모식。해도현적삼차산업재경쟁력、발전수평화금후예기성장성상유흔대구별。종합분석결과,장아국10개해도현분위사개경제류형,병거차,급출미래해도현산업결구발전적건의。
Based on three industries data and GDP data of 10 major island Counties in China from 2000 to 2011, the trend within the industrial structure of the island counties in recent 12 years were investigated by using the ＂tri-axial figure＂ and the trajectory method of center of gravity of three industrial structures. The comparative analysis of economic structure among the 10 island counties were studied by using the SSM model （shift-share method） and its calculation formula. The results show that the national economy industrialization of Dongshan, Yuhuan and Zhoushan are evolving by right-handed mode, which is an industrial structure upgrade mode from the primary industry occupying the dominant status to the secondary industry occupying dominant position. In contrast, Changdao, Changhai, Daishan, Dongtou, Nan＇ ao, Pingtan and Shengsi these seven island counties demonstrated that over a period of time tertiary industry surpassed secondary industry to develop firstly, which called left-handed mode. In terms of competition, the level of development and future growth, there is a big difference among the 10 Island Counties＇ three industries. According to the results, the 10 island counties＇ economy can be classified into four types. At last, we give future development proposals to the upgrading of island county industrial structure..
