CAJ | 학술논문

文章通过引入一个多维市场化指数作为衡量经济体制转型的制度变量,将经济体制市场化转型、城镇化与经济增长纳入一个系统进行研究,在理论机制分析基础上,建立了一个包含经济体制市场化转型、城镇化与经济增长的联立方程模型,研究经济转型背景下城镇化与经济增长的互动关系。基于2000-2012年的中国省级面板数据的实证结果表明,中国经济体制的市场化转型有效地推动了城镇化和经济增长;城镇化对经济增长有显著的促进作用;经济增长对城镇化的影响呈现出一种倒U形的曲线关系,并不是目前诸多文献认为的简单正相关关系。因此,保持合理的经济发展速度能够更好地推动城镇化平稳健康发展。
문장통과인입일개다유시장화지수작위형량경제체제전형적제도변량,장경제체제시장화전형、성진화여경제증장납입일개계통진행연구,재이론궤제분석기출상,건립료일개포함경제체제시장화전형、성진화여경제증장적련립방정모형,연구경제전형배경하성진화여경제증장적호동관계。기우2000-2012년적중국성급면판수거적실증결과표명,중국경제체제적시장화전형유효지추동료성진화화경제증장;성진화대경제증장유현저적촉진작용;경제증장대성진화적영향정현출일충도U형적곡선관계,병불시목전제다문헌인위적간단정상관관계。인차,보지합리적경제발전속도능구경호지추동성진화평은건강발전。
By introducing a multi-dimensional marketization index as a variable of economic transformation process, the paper aims to study the interaction between marketization, urbanization and economic growth, which means that the two great reform process： marketization, urbanization, and economy growth are combined in one e- conomic system. A simultaneous equation model is built, which contains the three elements above based on the the- ory of mechanism analysis. With use of the panel data of all provinces in China from 2000 to 2012, the empirical results show that China＇ s marketization plays significant roles in urbanization and economic growth. Urbanization has obviously driven the economic growth; while the effect of economic growth on urbanization presents an inverted u-shaped curve relationship. Therefore, a reasonable rate of economic growth can better promote the stable and healthy development of urbanization.