国际商务研究
國際商務研究
국제상무연구
International Business Research
2015年
2期
35~43
,共null页
水产品 日韩市场 出口增长 CMS模型
水產品 日韓市場 齣口增長 CMS模型
수산품 일한시장 출구증장 CMS모형
aquatic products; Japanese and South Korean markets; export growth; CMS model
中日韩3国水产品贸易联系紧密，日韩是中国水产品出口的重要市场。本文根据联合国商品贸易数据库2001-2012年的数据，在比较中国水产品对日韩出口现状的前提下，利用CMS模型对中国水产品出口日韩的增长进行实证研究。研究结果表明，日韩市场对水产品需求的增长是促进中国水产品出口的最关键因素，中国水产品对日出口的“产品结构效应”和“综合竞争力效应”高于对韩出口，但对这两个市场出口的“产品竞争力效应”和“交叉效应”不明显。本文在实证研究结果的基础上，提出了相应的政策建议。
中日韓3國水產品貿易聯繫緊密，日韓是中國水產品齣口的重要市場。本文根據聯閤國商品貿易數據庫2001-2012年的數據，在比較中國水產品對日韓齣口現狀的前提下，利用CMS模型對中國水產品齣口日韓的增長進行實證研究。研究結果錶明，日韓市場對水產品需求的增長是促進中國水產品齣口的最關鍵因素，中國水產品對日齣口的“產品結構效應”和“綜閤競爭力效應”高于對韓齣口，但對這兩箇市場齣口的“產品競爭力效應”和“交扠效應”不明顯。本文在實證研究結果的基礎上，提齣瞭相應的政策建議。
중일한3국수산품무역련계긴밀，일한시중국수산품출구적중요시장。본문근거연합국상품무역수거고2001-2012년적수거，재비교중국수산품대일한출구현상적전제하，이용CMS모형대중국수산품출구일한적증장진행실증연구。연구결과표명，일한시장대수산품수구적증장시촉진중국수산품출구적최관건인소，중국수산품대일출구적“산품결구효응”화“종합경쟁력효응”고우대한출구，단대저량개시장출구적“산품경쟁력효응”화“교차효응”불명현。본문재실증연구결과적기출상，제출료상응적정책건의。
China, Japan and South Korea have a close relationship in aquatic products trade. Japan and South Korea are both China＇s important export markets. Based on the data of UN Comtrade Database from 2001 to 2012, the paper compares the trade status of China＇s aquatic products exported to Japan with those exported to South Korea, and then use the CMS model to figure out the factors that influence the volume growth of the aquatic products of China exported to Japan and South Korea. The results show that, the increasing demand of Japan and South Korea is the main factor that promotes the export growth of China＇s aquatic products. The product structure effect and the comprehensive competitiveness effect of China＇s aquatic products in Japan market are higher than in South Korea, while the product competitiveness effect and cross effect are not obvious in the two markets. Based on the results of empirical research, the corresponding policy recommendations are given.
