广西民族研究
廣西民族研究
엄서민족연구
Study of Ethnics in Cuangxi
2015年
1期
145~152
,共null页
民族地区 地方政府债务管理 土地财政 风险评价
民族地區 地方政府債務管理 土地財政 風險評價
민족지구 지방정부채무관리 토지재정 풍험평개
minority area; local government; debt management; fiscal based on land development;risk evaluation
目前,有关我国地方债务问题的研究备受关注。民族地区地方政府债务形成和发展与全国具有同步性,但债务压力和债务风险比全国大部分地区形势要严重,其主要来源于“吃饭财政”、土地财政、地方政府融资平台以及自然灾害和其他突发经济社会事件的影响。从理论研究层面和数据实证层面都可以看出,民族地区地方政府债务规模较大、增长较快,且县级债务负担更重,信用违约风险概率更高。因此,应高度重视民族地区地方债务问题,以求尽量客观、完整、准确评价债务风险,全面提高债务管理水平。
目前,有關我國地方債務問題的研究備受關註。民族地區地方政府債務形成和髮展與全國具有同步性,但債務壓力和債務風險比全國大部分地區形勢要嚴重,其主要來源于“喫飯財政”、土地財政、地方政府融資平檯以及自然災害和其他突髮經濟社會事件的影響。從理論研究層麵和數據實證層麵都可以看齣,民族地區地方政府債務規模較大、增長較快,且縣級債務負擔更重,信用違約風險概率更高。因此,應高度重視民族地區地方債務問題,以求儘量客觀、完整、準確評價債務風險,全麵提高債務管理水平。
목전,유관아국지방채무문제적연구비수관주。민족지구지방정부채무형성화발전여전국구유동보성,단채무압력화채무풍험비전국대부분지구형세요엄중,기주요래원우“흘반재정”、토지재정、지방정부융자평태이급자연재해화기타돌발경제사회사건적영향。종이론연구층면화수거실증층면도가이간출,민족지구지방정부채무규모교대、증장교쾌,차현급채무부담경중,신용위약풍험개솔경고。인차,응고도중시민족지구지방채무문제,이구진량객관、완정、준학평개채무풍험,전면제고채무관리수평。
Presently, the researches on the issues of debt in local governments catch extensive atten- tions. The formation and development of the local government debt in minority areas are synchronous to the whole county, however, the situation of debt pressure and debt risk in these areas are more serious than that in most parts of the country. They mainly come from ' rise fiscal' , ' land fiscal, platform of capital - raising of the local government as well as impacts of natural disasters and proruption of other economic and social e- vents. This is shown in levels of theoretical research and statistic demonstration that the scale of local gov- ernment debt in minority areas is relatively big and the speed of growth is relatively fast, furthermore, the debt burdens of the county level of government are more serious, the risk probability of credit breaching is higher. Therefore, sufficient attentions should be paid to the issue of local debts in minority areas in order to evaluate debt risk as objective, fully and accurately as ment comprehensively. possible, so as to improve standards of debt manage-ment comprehensively.