CAJ | 학술논문

基于2001--2012数据和显示性对称比较优势指数（RSCA），运用散点图和非参数核密度估计统计方法，实证分析两岸农产品贸易比较优势的动态变化。结果显示：大陆农产品的比较优势在恶化，农产品出口贸易越来越集中在少数具有比较优势的产品上；台湾农产品基本上不具有比较优势，但是2007年以来比较优势有改善趋势；在双边贸易中，大陆对台湾出口农产品的比较优势总体上呈上升趋势，具有比较优势的产品在增加，而台湾对大陆农产品贸易则不具有比较优势，但是在统计期间出口专业化程度明显下降，比较优势趋于改善。
기우2001--2012수거화현시성대칭비교우세지수（RSCA），운용산점도화비삼수핵밀도고계통계방법，실증분석량안농산품무역비교우세적동태변화。결과현시：대륙농산품적비교우세재악화，농산품출구무역월래월집중재소수구유비교우세적산품상；태만농산품기본상불구유비교우세，단시2007년이래비교우세유개선추세；재쌍변무역중，대륙대태만출구농산품적비교우세총체상정상승추세，구유비교우세적산품재증가，이태만대대륙농산품무역칙불구유비교우세，단시재통계기간출구전업화정도명현하강，비교우세추우개선。
Based on the data of 2001-2012 and RSCA index, the paper uses the scatter diagrams and the nonparametric kernel density estimation statistical method to empirically analyze the dynamic changes of the comparative advantage of the agricultural trade between the two sides. The findings show that the comparative advantage of the mainland agricultural trade is deteriorating and the export of its agricultural products is focusing on a few products with comparative advantage while Taiwan ag- ricultural products do not basically have a comparative advantage, but the advantage has been somewhat improved since 2007. In bilateral trade, the overall advantage of the mainland agricultural products exported to Taiwan is on the rise and the products with comparative advantages are increasing whereas the Taiwan agricultural products to mainland have no comparative advantages, but the export specialization degree is obviously on the decline during the statistical period. However, the comparative advantage tends to improve.