CAJ | 학술논문

工业品多样性消费的偏好、公共品享用的便利,以及对服务品多样性与多层次性的需求是居民向城市集聚的三个重要动力,相对于前两个因素,服务业与城市集聚力关系的研究还比较少。基于此,本文建立服务业发展对城市集聚影响机制的空间模型,在研究服务业发展对城市集聚影响机制的同时,使用数值模拟、面板门限回归的方法对研究结果进行了验证。研究表明：服务业发展对城市集聚的影响机制是通过居民对服务品多样性和多层次性的偏好实现的;服务业发展能够提升城市集聚力,但具有显著的门槛效应：当服务业相对效率、居民服务品消费比重以及收入水平较高时,服务业发展对城市集聚有显著的正效应;相反,当三者较低时,贸然鼓励服务业发展则会阻碍城市经济的集聚。
공업품다양성소비적편호、공공품향용적편리,이급대복무품다양성여다층차성적수구시거민향성시집취적삼개중요동력,상대우전량개인소,복무업여성시집취력관계적연구환비교소。기우차,본문건립복무업발전대성시집취영향궤제적공간모형,재연구복무업발전대성시집취영향궤제적동시,사용수치모의、면판문한회귀적방법대연구결과진행료험증。연구표명：복무업발전대성시집취적영향궤제시통과거민대복무품다양성화다층차성적편호실현적;복무업발전능구제승성시집취력,단구유현저적문함효응：당복무업상대효솔、거민복무품소비비중이급수입수평교고시,복무업발전대성시집취유현저적정효응;상반,당삼자교저시,무연고려복무업발전칙회조애성시경제적집취。
he preference to diversity of industrial product,convenience of enjoying public goods,and the demand for diverse and multi-level services are three main forces which drive residents to the urban.Existing research about the relation between service industry and urban agglomeration is less compared with the former two factors.This paper builds a space model about how service industry influences urban agglomeration based on these conditions.At the same time,this paper uses numerical simulation and panel threshold regression to test the theory conclusion.The results show：the influence mechanism of service industry development on urban agglomeration is achieved through residents＇ preference to multi-level and diverse service;the development of service industry can raise the urban agglomeration force.However,this influence has a threshold effect;when the relative productivity of service is higher,the consumption ratio of service is higher,or the income of residents is higher,the development of service industry has a significant positive effect on urban agglomeration;on the contrary,when the relative productivity of service is lower,the consumption ratio of service is lower,or the income of residents is lower,rashly encouraging service may hinder the urban agglomeration.