CAJ | 학술논문

本文研究农业劳动力转移数据的标准化问题。数据标准化的前提是设计适当的定量指标。农业劳动力转移数据所需要的指标首先是农业劳动占总劳动比重即农劳比;农劳比的差分为农劳比下降速度;后者的差分又是农劳比下降加速度。这三个指标都是统计学的可观察量。但真实的农业劳动力转移量是不可观察量。替代性的另一个农业劳动力转移量建立在农业劳动力和社会总劳动力两者自然增长率相等的假设上。利用总劳动增长率资料,该转移量亦成为可观察量。这一转移量和总劳动力之比是农业劳动力转移率。由此定义的农业劳动力转移率恒等同于农劳比下降速度,所以转移率也变成可观察量。利用这些指标和中国的统计资料,本文提出1953-2012年中国农业劳动力转移的长期年度数据。
본문연구농업노동력전이수거적표준화문제。수거표준화적전제시설계괄당적정량지표。농업노동력전이수거소수요적지표수선시농업노동점총노동비중즉농로비;농로비적차분위농로비하강속도;후자적차분우시농로비하강가속도。저삼개지표도시통계학적가관찰량。단진실적농업노동력전이량시불가관찰량。체대성적령일개농업노동력전이량건립재농업노동력화사회총노동력량자자연증장솔상등적가설상。이용총노동증장솔자료,해전이량역성위가관찰량。저일전이량화총노동력지비시농업노동력전이솔。유차정의적농업노동력전이솔항등동우농로비하강속도,소이전이솔야변성가관찰량。이용저사지표화중국적통계자료,본문제출1953-2012년중국농업노동력전이적장기년도수거。
The present paper focuses on standardization of data on intersectoral migration of agricultural labor.A precondition for the data standardization is to design adequate indicators of the migration.They are,first of all,the agricultural labor share or ALS,its falling velocity and acceleration.These three indicators are statistically observable.But the true quantity of migration of agricultural labor is not observable.A substitute is set up on the assumption that natural growth rates of both agricultural and total labor are equal.Because the data of total labor are available,the substitute migration quantity is observable.Migration rate of agricultural labor is defined as the ratio between this quantity and total labor.It is identical with falling velocity of the ALS and hence becomes observable.By the means of these indicators and using Chinese statistics,this paper calculates a series of yearly data on China＇s agricultural labor migration from 1953 to 2012.