CAJ | 학술논문

2013年全国流动人口动态监测数据表明,流动人口的平均消费倾向低于全国居民平均水平,流动人口恩格尔系数比城镇居民高9个百分点,流动人口家庭的消费对收入缺乏弹性。就业减少了流动人口即期的不确定性,而社会保险减小了他们远期的不确定性。处理效应模型显示,失业显著减少了流动人口的消费,而在流入地参加的社会养老保险及失业保险对消费有显著的正向影响。因此,促进流动人口消费的重心应为增强他们的就业能力与保障,提高他们的收入水平。在产业结构调整速度加快的大背景下,对流动人口的就业培训、让流动人口享受到流入地更多的社会保障是促进消费的重要措施。
2013년전국류동인구동태감측수거표명,류동인구적평균소비경향저우전국거민평균수평,류동인구은격이계수비성진거민고9개백분점,류동인구가정적소비대수입결핍탄성。취업감소료류동인구즉기적불학정성,이사회보험감소료타문원기적불학정성。처리효응모형현시,실업현저감소료류동인구적소비,이재류입지삼가적사회양로보험급실업보험대소비유현저적정향영향。인차,촉진류동인구소비적중심응위증강타문적취업능력여보장,제고타문적수입수평。재산업결구조정속도가쾌적대배경하,대류동인구적취업배훈、양류동인구향수도류입지경다적사회보장시촉진소비적중요조시。
Based on the national dynamic monitoring survey of the migrant population in 2013,this paper studies the problem of consumption of the migrants,and we find that the average propensity to consume in this group is lower than the average national household consumption rate,while the former＇s Engel coefficient is 9% higher than the urban dwells,and the migrant family income on consumption is inelastic.Taking up an occupation could reduce the short-term uncertainty,while social insurances could decrease the long-term uncertainty.The Treatment-effect Model shows that a significant decrease in consumption will be observed if the migrant lost his / her job,while social endowment insurance,social health insurance and unemployment insurance have positive impacts on consumption.The migrants ＇consumption does not present＂myopic＂feature anymore.So the focus to promote migrants＇ consumption is to enhance their employability and social insurance,so as to increase their income.Under the background of the accelerating adjustment of industrial structure,training the migrants to get more job skills,as well as expanding the coverage of social insurance in those population-inflow cities,are the effective measures to boost consumption.