经济评论
經濟評論
경제평론
Economic Review
2015年
2期
78~87
,共null页
保险需求 收入效应 收入差距 PSTR
保險需求 收入效應 收入差距 PSTR
보험수구 수입효응 수입차거 PSTR
Insurance Demand; Income-effect; Inequality; PSTR
基于非一致风险偏好现象对微观个体保险购买意愿的作用,本文从宏观理论层面阐述了收入差距影响保险需求收入效应的内在机理,并利用面板平滑转换回归方法和OECD 29个国家(和地区)1990-2012年的数据,建立多个模型实证检验了收入差距与保险需求收入效应的非线性关系。实证结果表明:收入差距轻微增加对保险需求收入效应影响不确定,但当收入差距扩大到一定程度时,无论是寿险还是财险的需求,其收入效应都会削弱。这表明,过大的收入差距对保险业的发展是十分不利的。文章最后指出:保险业的发展水平体现了社会公平程度,发达的保险业是社会高度均富的重要标志。
基于非一緻風險偏好現象對微觀箇體保險購買意願的作用,本文從宏觀理論層麵闡述瞭收入差距影響保險需求收入效應的內在機理,併利用麵闆平滑轉換迴歸方法和OECD 29箇國傢(和地區)1990-2012年的數據,建立多箇模型實證檢驗瞭收入差距與保險需求收入效應的非線性關繫。實證結果錶明:收入差距輕微增加對保險需求收入效應影響不確定,但噹收入差距擴大到一定程度時,無論是壽險還是財險的需求,其收入效應都會削弱。這錶明,過大的收入差距對保險業的髮展是十分不利的。文章最後指齣:保險業的髮展水平體現瞭社會公平程度,髮達的保險業是社會高度均富的重要標誌。
기우비일치풍험편호현상대미관개체보험구매의원적작용,본문종굉관이론층면천술료수입차거영향보험수구수입효응적내재궤리,병이용면판평활전환회귀방법화OECD 29개국가(화지구)1990-2012년적수거,건립다개모형실증검험료수입차거여보험수구수입효응적비선성관계。실증결과표명:수입차거경미증가대보험수구수입효응영향불학정,단당수입차거확대도일정정도시,무론시수험환시재험적수구,기수입효응도회삭약。저표명,과대적수입차거대보험업적발전시십분불리적。문장최후지출:보험업적발전수평체현료사회공평정도,발체적보험업시사회고도균부적중요표지。
By noticing that inconsistent risk preference would impose an individual consumption propensity to insurance,we show how inequality would affect the income-effect of insurance demand from the macro aspect.With panel data from the 29 countries and regions of OECD,and by using the approach of PSTR( Panel Smoothing Transition Regression),we construct several models,in which the dependent variable,independent variable and transition variable are respectively insurance premium income,per capita disposable income and income inequality.The empirical results show that although slight inequality exert uncertain effect on insurance demand,severe inequality would surely impair the income-effect of both life insurance and non-life insurance.It concludes that the developmental level of insurance industry reveals the degree of social equality,and advanced insurance industry implies a higher equality of the society.