CAJ | 학술논문

运用“状态-结构-绩效”（简称SSP）制度分析框架对黑龙江省森工林区全面停伐试点的政策影响展开深入解析，结果表明：全面停伐政策在一定时期内对森工企业和林区职工具有不利影响，林区基本生产生活受到冲击；全面停伐政策具有增加社会改革成本的负的外部性，以及在生态、经济、社会和政治环境方面的正的外部性。总体来说，黑龙江省森工林区实施全面停伐政策试点对林区经济社会可持续发展具有战略意义，整体政策绩效与制度设计初衷保持一致，且全面停伐政策未来的发展方向应该是围绕着确保国有林区经济社会稳定发展，积极开展后续保障体制建设，特别是在改善民生、积极发展林下经济、做好森林经营抚育等方面提供具体的对策设计。
운용“상태-결구-적효”（간칭SSP）제도분석광가대흑룡강성삼공림구전면정벌시점적정책영향전개심입해석，결과표명：전면정벌정책재일정시기내대삼공기업화림구직공구유불리영향，림구기본생산생활수도충격；전면정벌정책구유증가사회개혁성본적부적외부성，이급재생태、경제、사회화정치배경방면적정적외부성。총체래설，흑룡강성삼공림구실시전면정벌정책시점대림구경제사회가지속발전구유전략의의，정체정책적효여제도설계초충보지일치，차전면정벌정책미래적발전방향응해시위요착학보국유림구경제사회은정발전，적겁개전후속보장체제건설，특별시재개선민생、적겁발전림하경제、주호삼림경영무육등방면제공구체적대책설계。
By using the system＇s analysis framework SSP, it analyzes the main effects to the stateowned forest area of Heilongjiang province which come from the ending entirety deforestation policy, and here are the results, the policy does have a negative impact on the forest enterprises and the work- ers over a period time. The policy has a negative externality of increasing the social reform cost and have a series of positive externalities in the environment of ecology, economy, society and politics. Overall, it shows that the policy means of strategic significance to the area＇s sustainable development, and the policy＇s results meet its original intention. Finally, the future direction of the ending deforest- ation policy is to make sure that some subsequent mechanism would be designed, which includes that improving the people＇s livelihood, developing non-wood economy, and practicing the forest management and tending well.