CAJ | 학술논문

摘要突发事件发生初期，进行突发事件的快速综合评估，有利于及时、准确地把握事件的态势，以满足应急决策的时效性要求．为解决突发事件数据量较大，数据更新较快时，过于复杂的运算过程和计算软件缺乏以及已有软件兼容性低而难以满足应急决策的时效性要求的问题，本文简化了Simos过程和PROMETHEEII方法，构建了突发事件快速评估模型，即SSPPM（Simple Simos＇Procedure and PROMETHEE II Model）．为了验证新模型的有效性，本文选取了两个数据进行实验．实验结果表明，在对评估速度的要求大于对精度的要求的突发事件控制阶段，新模型能快速综合多位应急决策者的意见，快速获取权重，简化评估过程，提高突发事件综合评估效率．
적요돌발사건발생초기，진행돌발사건적쾌속종합평고，유리우급시、준학지파악사건적태세，이만족응급결책적시효성요구．위해결돌발사건수거량교대，수거경신교쾌시，과우복잡적운산과정화계산연건결핍이급이유연건겸용성저이난이만족응급결책적시효성요구적문제，본문간화료Simos과정화PROMETHEEII방법，구건료돌발사건쾌속평고모형，즉SSPPM（Simple Simos＇Procedure and PROMETHEE II Model）．위료험증신모형적유효성，본문선취료량개수거진행실험．실험결과표명，재대평고속도적요구대우대정도적요구적돌발사건공제계단，신모형능쾌속종합다위응급결책자적의견，쾌속획취권중，간화평고과정，제고돌발사건종합평고효솔．
In the early stage of emergency incidents, rapidly and comprehensively assessing the emergency incident is conducive to timely and accurately grasp the trend of the events and meet the timeliness requirements of emergency response. To solve the complicated calculation process and the lack of calculation software as well as the low compatibility of the existing software, a rapid comprehensive assessment model was established based on two revised algorithms, the Simple Simos Process and PROMETHEE II. Two experimental emergency datasets are used to verify the SSPPM. The experimental results show that the SSPPM （Simple Simos＇ Procedure and PROMETHEE II Model） can quickly acquire weights of criteria and get the result of assessment timely.