CAJ | 학술논문

本文在相关研究的基础上,依据1978~2012年的时间序列数据,定量分析了安徽省城镇化与经济增长之间的关系以及城镇化对经济增长的作用机制.研究表明,改革开放30多年来,安徽省城镇化水平与经济增长之间的关系表现为长期动态均衡关系,城镇化在一定程度上促进了经济增长,但并不是促进经济发展的直接动力;城镇化的发展促进了安徽省物质资本和知识资本的快速积累,但目前城镇化推动安徽经济发展的主要途径仍是通过物质资本的集聚,对人力资本、知识资本、产业结构等生产要素的集聚作用还不强.
본문재상관연구적기출상,의거1978~2012년적시간서렬수거,정량분석료안휘성성진화여경제증장지간적관계이급성진화대경제증장적작용궤제.연구표명,개혁개방30다년래,안휘성성진화수평여경제증장지간적관계표현위장기동태균형관계,성진화재일정정도상촉진료경제증장,단병불시촉진경제발전적직접동력;성진화적발전촉진료안휘성물질자본화지식자본적쾌속적루,단목전성진화추동안휘경제발전적주요도경잉시통과물질자본적집취,대인력자본、지식자본、산업결구등생산요소적집취작용환불강.
In this paper,on the basis of relevant research,based on 1978 ~ 2012 time series data,quantitative analysis is implemented to study the relation between urbanization and economic growth of Anhui province,as well as the mechanism of urbanization＇s effects. This research indicate： over 30 years of reform and opening up,urbanization level and economic growth of Anhui show a relation of long-term dynamic equilibrium; urbanization has certain effects on economic growth,but does not significantly manifest direct effects of driving the growth. The development of urbanization in Anhui province facilitates the rapid accumulation of material capital and intellectual assets,and the former is the principal manner of how urbanization affects economic development in Anhui. Urbanization＇s effects are not strong on the pooling of such productive factors as human resources,knowledge assets and industrial structures.