社会保障研究
社會保障研究
사회보장연구
Social Security Studies
2015年
2期
83~90
,共null页
长期照护服务体系 人口老龄化 体系建构 需求预测
長期照護服務體繫 人口老齡化 體繫建構 需求預測
장기조호복무체계 인구노령화 체계건구 수구예측
long-term care system; population aging; system construction; demand prediction
长期照护服务体系是发达国家(地区)应对人口。老龄化下老年人养老和服务问题的主要途径。文章梳理了发达国家(地区)长期照护服务体系的理论进展及实践经验,研究表明:(1)长期照护服务体系遵循“就地养老”的照护理念,目标是通过连续性照护进行资源整合,主要有居家照护、社区照护和机构照护三种模式;(2)不同融资结构和服务提供情况作用下形成五种服务体系支持类型;(3)服务的需求预测主要通过马尔可夫循环仿真模型树结构实现。最后针对我国老年长期照护服务体系存在的问题,应重点实现多元协作模式、系统高效的老年服务设施规划、相关政策法规体系构建等方面的工作。
長期照護服務體繫是髮達國傢(地區)應對人口。老齡化下老年人養老和服務問題的主要途徑。文章梳理瞭髮達國傢(地區)長期照護服務體繫的理論進展及實踐經驗,研究錶明:(1)長期照護服務體繫遵循“就地養老”的照護理唸,目標是通過連續性照護進行資源整閤,主要有居傢照護、社區照護和機構照護三種模式;(2)不同融資結構和服務提供情況作用下形成五種服務體繫支持類型;(3)服務的需求預測主要通過馬爾可伕循環倣真模型樹結構實現。最後針對我國老年長期照護服務體繫存在的問題,應重點實現多元協作模式、繫統高效的老年服務設施規劃、相關政策法規體繫構建等方麵的工作。
장기조호복무체계시발체국가(지구)응대인구。노령화하노년인양로화복무문제적주요도경。문장소리료발체국가(지구)장기조호복무체계적이론진전급실천경험,연구표명:(1)장기조호복무체계준순“취지양로”적조호이념,목표시통과련속성조호진행자원정합,주요유거가조호、사구조호화궤구조호삼충모식;(2)불동융자결구화복무제공정황작용하형성오충복무체계지지류형;(3)복무적수구예측주요통과마이가부순배방진모형수결구실현。최후침대아국노년장기조호복무체계존재적문제,응중점실현다원협작모식、계통고효적노년복무설시규화、상관정책법규체계구건등방면적공작。
In the context of rapid population aging,long- term care system is one of the major ways to tackle the prominent issues about caring the aged population in developed countries. Present paper reviewed the previous study on long- term care system and analyzed several practical cases in developed countries,the research findings are as followed:( 1) Long- term care system aims to integrate resource by continuously caring,and it complies with the concept of " aging in place" and three different implementation models can be identified- home- based care,community- based care and institutional care;( 2) Base on different financing structure and service,support systems and services of long- term caring can be divided into five categories;( 3) The " Markov Cycle Tree Structure" model is the most common way of estimating the service demand. In the last section,based on the complexity of Chinese aged caring system, we suggest that:( 1) multivariate cooperative model should be established;( 2) systematic planning is essential for facilitating the construction of service system;( 3) institutional and legislative supports is the key for aged caring system.