金融研究
金融研究
금융연구
Journal of Financial Research
2015年
2期
131~147
,共null页
二元转型 金融发展拐点 刘易斯拐点
二元轉型 金融髮展枴點 劉易斯枴點
이원전형 금융발전괴점 류역사괴점
Dual economy transition, Financial development break point, Lewis break point
针对于作为发展经济学基石的传统二元经济模型中金融因素的缺失,本文主要关注了如下问题:我们应当如何从金融的角度对二元经济模型加以拓展?这种拓展所引伸出的政策含义是什么?它对农村金融补贴政策的功能界定又有着什么样的启示?为此,本文首先提出了二元经济模型应从部门间金融资源流动角度加以拓展的观点,然后,根据部门间金融摩擦程度的不同以及现实当中存在的对农村金融的补贴,提出了决定部门间资金流动的“金融摩擦效应”和“政策反哺效应”两个动力机制,并据此提出了与刘易斯拐点对应的二元转型金融发展拐点。在对两个动力机制特征进行分析的基础之上,本文进而提出并验证了刘易斯拐点与金融发展拐点可能存在背离,以及这种背离源自于两个效应此消彼长的相互作用等两个假说。本文研究的政策含义是,在二元经济框架下,如果承认市场机制对于转型具有基础性作用,那么,农村金融补贴政策的一个重要功能界定是弥补部门间相对摩擦程度不同所造成的资金跨部门流动的扭曲。
針對于作為髮展經濟學基石的傳統二元經濟模型中金融因素的缺失,本文主要關註瞭如下問題:我們應噹如何從金融的角度對二元經濟模型加以拓展?這種拓展所引伸齣的政策含義是什麽?它對農村金融補貼政策的功能界定又有著什麽樣的啟示?為此,本文首先提齣瞭二元經濟模型應從部門間金融資源流動角度加以拓展的觀點,然後,根據部門間金融摩抆程度的不同以及現實噹中存在的對農村金融的補貼,提齣瞭決定部門間資金流動的“金融摩抆效應”和“政策反哺效應”兩箇動力機製,併據此提齣瞭與劉易斯枴點對應的二元轉型金融髮展枴點。在對兩箇動力機製特徵進行分析的基礎之上,本文進而提齣併驗證瞭劉易斯枴點與金融髮展枴點可能存在揹離,以及這種揹離源自于兩箇效應此消彼長的相互作用等兩箇假說。本文研究的政策含義是,在二元經濟框架下,如果承認市場機製對于轉型具有基礎性作用,那麽,農村金融補貼政策的一箇重要功能界定是瀰補部門間相對摩抆程度不同所造成的資金跨部門流動的扭麯。
침대우작위발전경제학기석적전통이원경제모형중금융인소적결실,본문주요관주료여하문제:아문응당여하종금융적각도대이원경제모형가이탁전?저충탁전소인신출적정책함의시십요?타대농촌금융보첩정책적공능계정우유착십요양적계시?위차,본문수선제출료이원경제모형응종부문간금융자원류동각도가이탁전적관점,연후,근거부문간금융마찰정도적불동이급현실당중존재적대농촌금융적보첩,제출료결정부문간자금류동적“금융마찰효응”화“정책반포효응”량개동력궤제,병거차제출료여류역사괴점대응적이원전형금융발전괴점。재대량개동력궤제특정진행분석적기출지상,본문진이제출병험증료류역사괴점여금융발전괴점가능존재배리,이급저충배리원자우량개효응차소피장적상호작용등량개가설。본문연구적정책함의시,재이원경제광가하,여과승인시장궤제대우전형구유기출성작용,나요,농촌금융보첩정책적일개중요공능계정시미보부문간상대마찰정도불동소조성적자금과부문류동적뉴곡。
For lack of financial factors in the traditional dual economic model as the cornerstone of development economics, this paper focuses on the following issues: How we should expand the dual economy model from financial view? What are the policy implications of this expansion? And especially, what we can learn to define the function of rural finance from this? In this paper, we first put forward the view that the dual economy model can expand from the cash flow between the rural sector and industrial sector. Then, considering the facts, we argued that the cash follow mechanism between the two sectors was pushed by the effect of financial friction and the effect of policy subsidy. The effect of financial friction is cased by the financial friction difference between the two sectors, and the effect of policy subsidy is eansed by government subsidy to agriculture. From this, we find there is a financial development break point in the transition process, and which is corresponding to the Lewis break point. In the empirical chapters, we test two hypothesizes , one is probably there is a deviation between Lewis break point and financial development break point, the other is that the deviation is decide by the power of two effect. For policy, this study give an important meaning : Under the framework of dual economy, if we argue that the market mechanism is the key factors for the economy transition, then the function of rural financial subsidy policy is to offset the cash flow distort between two sectors , which caused by the effect of financial friction.