CAJ | 학술논문

本文将联合国贸发数据库中信息服务产业的贸易数据与我国投入产出表中数据相匹配，基于FH指数和DJ指数测算了我国制造业的信息服务外包率，随后利用2003-2011年我国制造业细分行业的面板数据对市场规模、信息服务外包与出口贸易之间的关系进行了实证检验。计量结果显示：一方面，市场规模的增加会促进出口贸易；另一方面，开展信息服务外包虽然会抑制市场规模对出口的促进作用，但是可以降低运输成本和交易成本，两者的净效用为正。这说明，发展信息服务外包可以有效增加我国制造业出口。分位数回归结果表明：在低点位上，劳动密集型行业与知识密集型行业的信息服务外包可以显著提升出口；在高点位上，资本密集型行业的信息服务外包对出口的促进作用更加明显。
본문장연합국무발수거고중신식복무산업적무역수거여아국투입산출표중수거상필배，기우FH지수화DJ지수측산료아국제조업적신식복무외포솔，수후이용2003-2011년아국제조업세분행업적면판수거대시장규모、신식복무외포여출구무역지간적관계진행료실증검험。계량결과현시：일방면，시장규모적증가회촉진출구무역；령일방면，개전신식복무외포수연회억제시장규모대출구적촉진작용，단시가이강저운수성본화교역성본，량자적정효용위정。저설명，발전신식복무외포가이유효증가아국제조업출구。분위수회귀결과표명：재저점위상，노동밀집형행업여지식밀집형행업적신식복무외포가이현저제승출구；재고점위상，자본밀집형행업적신식복무외포대출구적촉진작용경가명현。
By matching the trade data in information service industry from UNCTAD with China＇s input-output table data, this paper measures China＇s information service outsourcing rate based on FH index and DJ index. In addition, this paper empirically estimates the relationships between market size, information service outsourcing and export trade using panel data of the manufacturing indus- try from 2003 to 2011. The empirical results demonstrate that the increase in market size will promote export trade; on the other hand, information service outsourcing will curb the promotion effect of market scale on export, but it can re- duce the transportation cost and transaction cost, which renders the net utility positive. Also showed is that the development of information service outsourcing can effectively increase the export of China＇ s manufacturing industry. Furthermore, the results from quantile regression indicate that information service outsourcing of labor-intensive industry and knowledge -intensive industry can significantly improve the export on low quantile position; on high quantile position, information service outsourcing of capital-intensive industry has a more significant promotion effect on export.