统计研究
統計研究
통계연구
Statistical Research
2015年
2期
10~15
,共null页
碳资产 技术属性 碳汇 影子价格 灵敏度分析
碳資產 技術屬性 碳彙 影子價格 靈敏度分析
탄자산 기술속성 탄회 영자개격 령민도분석
Carbon assets ; Technology Attributes ; Carbon Sink ; Shadow Prices ; Sensitivity Analysis
技术的碳量减排效应形成其碳资产属性,本文提出了技术碳资产的概念和属性;进而提出技术碳资产定价模型,并对影响碳资产价值的因素进行灵敏度分析.针对航天煤气化炉的案例分析说明了技术碳资产定价模型的稳健性,蒙特卡洛仿真表明碳汇价格对碳资产价值的影响显著大于企业产量波动对碳资产价值的影响.因此,发展有效的碳汇交易市场机制是技术碳资产定价的前提.
技術的碳量減排效應形成其碳資產屬性,本文提齣瞭技術碳資產的概唸和屬性;進而提齣技術碳資產定價模型,併對影響碳資產價值的因素進行靈敏度分析.針對航天煤氣化爐的案例分析說明瞭技術碳資產定價模型的穩健性,矇特卡洛倣真錶明碳彙價格對碳資產價值的影響顯著大于企業產量波動對碳資產價值的影響.因此,髮展有效的碳彙交易市場機製是技術碳資產定價的前提.
기술적탄량감배효응형성기탄자산속성,본문제출료기술탄자산적개념화속성;진이제출기술탄자산정개모형,병대영향탄자산개치적인소진행령민도분석.침대항천매기화로적안례분석설명료기술탄자산정개모형적은건성,몽특잡락방진표명탄회개격대탄자산개치적영향현저대우기업산량파동대탄자산개치적영향.인차,발전유효적탄회교역시장궤제시기술탄자산정개적전제.
Technology＇s carbon emission reduction generates its carbon asset attributes. The paper puts forward the concert and attributes of carbon assets, derives the pricing model for technology＇ s carbon assets, and makes sensitivity analysis of factors which affect the carbon assets value. Applying to the case of astronautics coal gasifier shows the robustness of the pricing model, which also reveals that the impact of carbon sink prices to carbon assets of the technology is significantly greater than that of the output volatility by Mont Color simulation. Therefore, developing the effective carbon sink trade mechanism is one of the preconditions.
