CAJ | 학술논문

文章给出了一个基于可再生资源经济的内生生育率模型，探讨了自然资源产权制度、人的利他主义倾向和资源的再生能力对人口—资源系统运行模式的影响。模型分析揭示出以下规律：自然资源产权制度固然重要，但即使存在明确的产权制度，自然资源再生能力很强，而人们对后代的利他主义倾向过低，势必过度开采自然资源，最终致使整个人口—资源系统出现周期性大波动甚至归于崩溃；而当人们对后代有着强烈的利他主义倾向时，即使自然资源的再生能力并不很强，只要有明晰的自然资源产权制度，人们会主动控制生育以抑制人口的过快增长，同时适度开采自然资源，这样也可使人口—资源系统最终单调趋向于平衡状态，避免系统出现大的周期性波动。
문장급출료일개기우가재생자원경제적내생생육솔모형，탐토료자연자원산권제도、인적이타주의경향화자원적재생능력대인구—자원계통운행모식적영향。모형분석게시출이하규률：자연자원산권제도고연중요，단즉사존재명학적산권제도，자연자원재생능력흔강，이인문대후대적이타주의경향과저，세필과도개채자연자원，최종치사정개인구—자원계통출현주기성대파동심지귀우붕궤；이당인문대후대유착강렬적이타주의경향시，즉사자연자원적재생능력병불흔강，지요유명석적자연자원산권제도，인문회주동공제생육이억제인구적과쾌증장，동시괄도개채자연자원，저양야가사인구—자원계통최종단조추향우평형상태，피면계통출현대적주기성파동。
This paper establishes an endogenous fertility rate model in a closed economy with renewable resources, and explores the impacts of natural resource property rights institution, altruistic propensity and renewability of natural resources on the operation mode of population-resource system. The analysis of the model reveals the following rules：On the one hand, although the natural resource property rights institution is important, over-low altruistic propensity to the offspring inevitably results in over-harvest of natural resources and will eventually cause large periodic fluctuations and even collapse of the entire population-resource system, even with clear property rights and high renewability of natural resources. On the other hand, in the presence of strong altruistic propensity to the offspring and clear property rights institution of natural resources, people will take the initiative to birth control to suppress the fast growth of population and appropriately exploit natural resources even if its renewability is not very strong, which makes the population-resource system evolve monotonically to an equilibrium state without large periodic fluctuations.