产业经济研究
產業經濟研究
산업경제연구
Industrial Economics Research
2015年
1期
71~82
,共null页
本地经济结构 空间溢出效应 制造业增长 长三角 产业集聚
本地經濟結構 空間溢齣效應 製造業增長 長三角 產業集聚
본지경제결구 공간일출효응 제조업증장 장삼각 산업집취
local economic structure; spatial spillover effects; growth of manufacturing; the Yangtze River Delta; industrial cluster
本文创新性地运用市域单元的制造业细分行业数据,综合Combes的本地经济结构理论与Anselin的空间自相关理论,分析本地经济结构（专业化、多样化、竞争程度、企业规模、本地市场）及城市之间溢出效应对长三角6个典型制造业集聚增长的影响。回归结果表明,专业化和多样化效应均有利于制造业增长,且空间回归模型能纠正普通OLS回归结果高估的误差;竞争性环境对产品差异化程度高的产业有积极效应;企业平均规模有助于资本密集型而不利于劳动密集型产业增长;市场规模对纺织等成本敏感性行业有抑制作用但有利于电子等市场依赖型产业增长。结果还表明,长三角城市群存在显著的空间溢出效应,表现为高集聚度城市之间（H-H型）的双向溢出、由高向低（H-L型）的单向扩散和由低向高（L-H型）的单向集聚三种模式。对长三角城市群制造业集聚与扩散的研究,有助于揭示城市群地区产业空间重构的规律。
本文創新性地運用市域單元的製造業細分行業數據,綜閤Combes的本地經濟結構理論與Anselin的空間自相關理論,分析本地經濟結構（專業化、多樣化、競爭程度、企業規模、本地市場）及城市之間溢齣效應對長三角6箇典型製造業集聚增長的影響。迴歸結果錶明,專業化和多樣化效應均有利于製造業增長,且空間迴歸模型能糾正普通OLS迴歸結果高估的誤差;競爭性環境對產品差異化程度高的產業有積極效應;企業平均規模有助于資本密集型而不利于勞動密集型產業增長;市場規模對紡織等成本敏感性行業有抑製作用但有利于電子等市場依賴型產業增長。結果還錶明,長三角城市群存在顯著的空間溢齣效應,錶現為高集聚度城市之間（H-H型）的雙嚮溢齣、由高嚮低（H-L型）的單嚮擴散和由低嚮高（L-H型）的單嚮集聚三種模式。對長三角城市群製造業集聚與擴散的研究,有助于揭示城市群地區產業空間重構的規律。
본문창신성지운용시역단원적제조업세분행업수거,종합Combes적본지경제결구이론여Anselin적공간자상관이론,분석본지경제결구（전업화、다양화、경쟁정도、기업규모、본지시장）급성시지간일출효응대장삼각6개전형제조업집취증장적영향。회귀결과표명,전업화화다양화효응균유리우제조업증장,차공간회귀모형능규정보통OLS회귀결과고고적오차;경쟁성배경대산품차이화정도고적산업유적겁효응;기업평균규모유조우자본밀집형이불리우노동밀집형산업증장;시장규모대방직등성본민감성행업유억제작용단유리우전자등시장의뢰형산업증장。결과환표명,장삼각성시군존재현저적공간일출효응,표현위고집취도성시지간（H-H형）적쌍향일출、유고향저（H-L형）적단향확산화유저향고（L-H형）적단향집취삼충모식。대장삼각성시군제조업집취여확산적연구,유조우게시성시군지구산업공간중구적규률。
This paper attempts to explore the impacts of local economic structure and spatial spillovers on the growth of manufacturing sub- sectors in 16 cities of the Yangtze River Delta,combining the Combes＇ s（ 2000） viewpoints of local economic growth with the Anselin＇s（ 1988） spatial auto- correlation theory. The empirical results show that： firstly,specialized and diversified externalities are beneficial to manufacturing growth; local competition has positive impact on those industries with highly differential products; average size of firms contributes to growth of capital- intensive industries instead of labor-intensive industries; local market potential is conducive to growth of market- dependent industries rather than cost- sensitive industries. Secondly,the spatial spillovers significantly affect the development of manufacturing industry in the Yangtze River Delta. Bi- directional spatial spillovers have more significant effects on promoting industrial diffusion in H- H city; the development level of H- L city＇s type is higher than that of its neighborhood so that this area mainly presents spatial spillovers to neighboring areas; L- H city＇s own industry development level is not high so that they are likely to be radiated by its neighbors through industrial transfer or industrial diffusion. The study of the Yangtze River Delta is helpful to find the regularity of industrial cluster or industrial diffusion in metropolitan areas.
