产业经济研究
產業經濟研究
산업경제연구
Industrial Economics Research
2015年
2期
23~32
,共null页
可计算一般均衡模型 高耗能商品 能源市场 碳关税
可計算一般均衡模型 高耗能商品 能源市場 碳關稅
가계산일반균형모형 고모능상품 능원시장 탄관세
CGE Model; high energy-consuming commodities production; energy market; carbon motivated border tax
本文在传统可计算一般均衡模型的基础上,创新地引入能源出口国提取成本函数和能源技术型劳动力供给参数,探讨碳关税对中国高、低能耗商品生产及能源市场的影响。研究表明,当能源技术型劳动力变化参数在区间（0,1）之间时,能源技术型劳动力供给达到最优状态,对于抵制碳关税对中国能耗商品的影响所发挥的作用最大。碳关税的实施将会降低我国GDP的能源强度,造成我国生产能力受到抑制,致使能源消费成本提高,能源需求量大幅下降,能源消费结构变化。中国的能源结构仍以化石能源为主导,在积极应对碳关税过程中,必须提高资源的利用效率,加快资源结构调整,积极推进技术进步,提升产业竞争力,强化社会节约意识宣传,建立健全资源节约型法制政策,合理构建资源节约型社会体制和机制,高效度循环利用资源,为我国经济社会的持续发展提供保障。
本文在傳統可計算一般均衡模型的基礎上,創新地引入能源齣口國提取成本函數和能源技術型勞動力供給參數,探討碳關稅對中國高、低能耗商品生產及能源市場的影響。研究錶明,噹能源技術型勞動力變化參數在區間（0,1）之間時,能源技術型勞動力供給達到最優狀態,對于牴製碳關稅對中國能耗商品的影響所髮揮的作用最大。碳關稅的實施將會降低我國GDP的能源彊度,造成我國生產能力受到抑製,緻使能源消費成本提高,能源需求量大幅下降,能源消費結構變化。中國的能源結構仍以化石能源為主導,在積極應對碳關稅過程中,必鬚提高資源的利用效率,加快資源結構調整,積極推進技術進步,提升產業競爭力,彊化社會節約意識宣傳,建立健全資源節約型法製政策,閤理構建資源節約型社會體製和機製,高效度循環利用資源,為我國經濟社會的持續髮展提供保障。
본문재전통가계산일반균형모형적기출상,창신지인입능원출구국제취성본함수화능원기술형노동력공급삼수,탐토탄관세대중국고、저능모상품생산급능원시장적영향。연구표명,당능원기술형노동력변화삼수재구간（0,1）지간시,능원기술형노동력공급체도최우상태,대우저제탄관세대중국능모상품적영향소발휘적작용최대。탄관세적실시장회강저아국GDP적능원강도,조성아국생산능력수도억제,치사능원소비성본제고,능원수구량대폭하강,능원소비결구변화。중국적능원결구잉이화석능원위주도,재적겁응대탄관세과정중,필수제고자원적이용효솔,가쾌자원결구조정,적겁추진기술진보,제승산업경쟁력,강화사회절약의식선전,건립건전자원절약형법제정책,합리구건자원절약형사회체제화궤제,고효도순배이용자원,위아국경제사회적지속발전제공보장。
This article is based on an extended general equilibrium model with the introduction of an energy technologybased labor supply parameter to explore the impact of carbon motivated border tax on China＇s energy-consuming commodities and energy markets. Results show that when the value of the energy technology-based labor supply parameter is between the interval（0,1）,energy technology-based labor supply achieves its optimal state,and its role of annihilating the impact of carbon motivated border tax on China＇s energy consumption goods is best played. Implementation of the carbon motivated border tax will reduce the energy intensity of China＇s GDP,resulting in suppression of production capacity in China,increase of the cost of energy consumption,a substantial decline in energy demand,and changes in energy consumption structure. China＇s energy structure is still dominated by fossil fuels. To cope with carbon tariffs and to ensure the sustainable development of China＇s economy and society,we must improve the efficiency of resource utilization,accelerate structural adjustment resources,vigorously develop the circular economy,and actively promote technological progress and enhance industrial competitiveness. We must strengthen social consciousness of saving energy,establish a sound legal system of resource-saving policy,and build an efficient recycling system of energy.
