CAJ | 학술논문

借助随机前沿生产函数和Kumbhakar模型,发现能源投入在1997—2011年中国工业增长中的贡献份额达到29.4%,反映出中国工业增长仍是以巨大的能源消耗作为代价。中国工业能源效率进步主要受益于结构效应改善,且各指数呈现“两头低、中间高”的变化趋势,反映出20世纪90年代中后期进行的大规模国有企业改革及出口导向型发展战略的实施促进了工业结构优化。基于系统矩估计的检验结果表明,中国轻工业技术前沿面上移主要得益于研发投入,而重工业技术前沿面上移主要得益于资本结构深化。
차조수궤전연생산함수화Kumbhakar모형,발현능원투입재1997—2011년중국공업증장중적공헌빈액체도29.4%,반영출중국공업증장잉시이거대적능원소모작위대개。중국공업능원효솔진보주요수익우결구효응개선,차각지수정현“량두저、중간고”적변화추세,반영출20세기90년대중후기진행적대규모국유기업개혁급출구도향형발전전략적실시촉진료공업결구우화。기우계통구고계적검험결과표명,중국경공업기술전연면상이주요득익우연발투입,이중공업기술전연면상이주요득익우자본결구심화。
This article finds that the energy input contributed 29.4% to the industrial growth from 1997 to 2011 in China based on SFA and Kumbhakar model. This result indicates that the rapid industrial growth has caused the huge consumption of energy. The promotion of energy total factors productivity has benefited a lot from the structural effects. The trend of efficiencies presented high performances in the middle stage but poor performances at the beginning and the end, which can be attributed to the reform on the state-owned enterpri- ses from 1992 to 2001, as well as the implement of export-oriented strategies. Results of GMM indicates that the technical frontier was pushed forward by the R＆D in light industries, but by the deepening of capital in heavy industries. Suggestions on completing the mar- ket mechanism, optimization of the industry system and R＆D system were given in the end.