CAJ | 학술논문

基于2003—2012年中国省域面板数据,首先通过空间计量模型检验了人力资本、市场规模等因素对于外商直接投资的吸引作用;其次通过构建交互项,检验了人力资本和FDI对于区域经济发展的影响。结果发现,劳动力投入总量、市场规模、市场开放度是吸引外商投资的主要原因,人力资本对于外商直接投资的吸引效果并不显著,外商直接投资更倾向于流入劳动密集型和资本密集型企业。通过地理加权回归模型的结果发现,外商直接投资是引起中国区域经济发展水平差异的重要原因,但人力资本和外商直接投资对中国经济发展的总体影响并不显著,外商直接投资对经济发展的作用开始减弱。
기우2003—2012년중국성역면판수거,수선통과공간계량모형검험료인력자본、시장규모등인소대우외상직접투자적흡인작용;기차통과구건교호항,검험료인력자본화FDI대우구역경제발전적영향。결과발현,노동력투입총량、시장규모、시장개방도시흡인외상투자적주요원인,인력자본대우외상직접투자적흡인효과병불현저,외상직접투자경경향우류입노동밀집형화자본밀집형기업。통과지리가권회귀모형적결과발현,외상직접투자시인기중국구역경제발전수평차이적중요원인,단인력자본화외상직접투자대중국경제발전적총체영향병불현저,외상직접투자대경제발전적작용개시감약。
Based on the panel data of China＇s 31 provinces, the paper firstly analyzed the attraction factors like human capital, market size to FDI inflow. Then through constructing interaction item, it inspected the influence of human capital and FDI to economic develop- ment. The result shows that labor input, market size and market openness are the main factors to attract FDI inflow. However human capital＇s effect is not significant, FDI is more likely to inflow into labor-intensive and capital intensive industries. The geographically weighted regression＇s resuh shows that FDI is the main factor causing regional economic development differences, but the overall impact of human capital and FDI to China＇s economic development is not significant, and FDI＇s effect on economic development starts to fall.