中国人口资源与环境
中國人口資源與環境
중국인구자원여배경
China Polulation.Resources and Environment
2015年
4期
84~91
,共null页
翟腾腾 郭杰 欧名豪 孔伟
翟騰騰 郭傑 歐名豪 孔偉
적등등 곽걸 구명호 공위
建设用地总量 基尼系数 区域分配 江苏
建設用地總量 基尼繫數 區域分配 江囌
건설용지총량 기니계수 구역분배 강소
total construction land; Gini coefficient; regional allocation; Jiangsu
土地资源有限性与建设用地需求增长的矛盾加剧,建设用地增量控制亟需向总量管控转变,而合理分配区域间建设用地总量是实现其总量管控的前提。本文从区域社会经济发展需求和资源禀赋供给约束两方面,筛选出常住人口、GDP、建设用地可拓展空间、农村居民点整理潜力等影响建设用地总量分配的主要指标,兼顾效率与公平,构建基于基尼系数的建设用地总量分配模型,以综合基尼系数最小为目标函数,建立多约束的线性规划求解方程,得到2020年江苏省建设用地总量分配方案。研究结果表明:1基于基尼系数的建设用地总量分配兼顾了资源配置的效率和公平需求,提高了分配方案的合理性。基于基尼系数的分配结果与现行规划方案相比,综合基尼系数由0.330降为0.315,各指标的基尼系数都有不同程度的下降。2根据建设用地总量分配结果,结合建设用地现状规模,测算江苏省13个地级市现行扩张趋势下建设用地总量剩余空间的可使用年限,依据可使用年限与现行规划剩余时间的对比关系,将13个地级市划分为3类建设用地管控区域。苏州、盐城和徐州为合理缩减区,应按照"严控总量,盘活存量"的目标,实施建设用地减量化管理;南京、无锡、常州、南通、连云港、淮安和宿迁为优化调整区,应采取"增量递减、存量优化"的调控策略,逐步缩减新增建设用地规模;扬州、镇江和泰州为重点发展区,应适度增加年度新增指标配置,同时强化新增建设用地的供地门槛。
土地資源有限性與建設用地需求增長的矛盾加劇,建設用地增量控製亟需嚮總量管控轉變,而閤理分配區域間建設用地總量是實現其總量管控的前提。本文從區域社會經濟髮展需求和資源稟賦供給約束兩方麵,篩選齣常住人口、GDP、建設用地可拓展空間、農村居民點整理潛力等影響建設用地總量分配的主要指標,兼顧效率與公平,構建基于基尼繫數的建設用地總量分配模型,以綜閤基尼繫數最小為目標函數,建立多約束的線性規劃求解方程,得到2020年江囌省建設用地總量分配方案。研究結果錶明:1基于基尼繫數的建設用地總量分配兼顧瞭資源配置的效率和公平需求,提高瞭分配方案的閤理性。基于基尼繫數的分配結果與現行規劃方案相比,綜閤基尼繫數由0.330降為0.315,各指標的基尼繫數都有不同程度的下降。2根據建設用地總量分配結果,結閤建設用地現狀規模,測算江囌省13箇地級市現行擴張趨勢下建設用地總量剩餘空間的可使用年限,依據可使用年限與現行規劃剩餘時間的對比關繫,將13箇地級市劃分為3類建設用地管控區域。囌州、鹽城和徐州為閤理縮減區,應按照"嚴控總量,盤活存量"的目標,實施建設用地減量化管理;南京、無錫、常州、南通、連雲港、淮安和宿遷為優化調整區,應採取"增量遞減、存量優化"的調控策略,逐步縮減新增建設用地規模;颺州、鎮江和泰州為重點髮展區,應適度增加年度新增指標配置,同時彊化新增建設用地的供地門檻。
토지자원유한성여건설용지수구증장적모순가극,건설용지증량공제극수향총량관공전변,이합리분배구역간건설용지총량시실현기총량관공적전제。본문종구역사회경제발전수구화자원품부공급약속량방면,사선출상주인구、GDP、건설용지가탁전공간、농촌거민점정리잠력등영향건설용지총량분배적주요지표,겸고효솔여공평,구건기우기니계수적건설용지총량분배모형,이종합기니계수최소위목표함수,건립다약속적선성규화구해방정,득도2020년강소성건설용지총량분배방안。연구결과표명:1기우기니계수적건설용지총량분배겸고료자원배치적효솔화공평수구,제고료분배방안적합이성。기우기니계수적분배결과여현행규화방안상비,종합기니계수유0.330강위0.315,각지표적기니계수도유불동정도적하강。2근거건설용지총량분배결과,결합건설용지현상규모,측산강소성13개지급시현행확장추세하건설용지총량잉여공간적가사용년한,의거가사용년한여현행규화잉여시간적대비관계,장13개지급시화분위3류건설용지관공구역。소주、염성화서주위합리축감구,응안조"엄공총량,반활존량"적목표,실시건설용지감양화관리;남경、무석、상주、남통、련운항、회안화숙천위우화조정구,응채취"증량체감、존량우화"적조공책략,축보축감신증건설용지규모;양주、진강화태주위중점발전구,응괄도증가년도신증지표배치,동시강화신증건설용지적공지문함。
Increasingly serious contradiction between the limited land resources and the growing construction land demand reaches a consensus. Thus,it is necessary to transform construction land management mode from the incremental control to the total control. And reasonable allocation of the total construction land is the prerequisite. Construction land scale influence factors are selected considering the demand of socioeconomic development and the supply constraints of resource endowment,such as the permanent population,GDP,construction land expandable space and rural construction land consolidation potential. An optimization allocation model of total construction land is established with multi-constrained linear equations based on the Gini coefficient,which gives consideration to both the efficiency and fairness. The total construction land's allocation plan of Jiangsu Province is proposed with the aim of minimizing comprehensive Gini coefficient. The results show that: 1 the total construction land allocation method based on Gini coefficient,considering both the fairness and efficiency of resource allocation,improves the allocation rationality. Compared with the current allocation scheme,the comprehensive Gini coefficient decreased from 0. 330 to 0. 315,and Gini coefficient of each index decreases to some degree respectively. 2 The durable years of the construction land remaining space are estimated according to the current construction land and the allocation scale based on the Gini coefficient. Comparing the durable years and the current planning 's remaining years,the 13 cities in Jiangsu Province are divided into three types. The reasonable reduction zone,including Suzhou,Yancheng and Xuzhou,is necessary to reduce the construction land area to strictly control its scale and improve existing construction land use efficient. By comparison,the optimizing and adjusting zone,including Nanjing,Wuxi,Changzhou,Nantong,Huaian,Suqian and Lianyungang,is necessary to carry out the control strategy to gradually reduce the increment and optimize the existing construction land,so that the new incremental construction land will be reduced gradually. While the key development zone,including Yangzhou,Zhenjiang and Taizhou,can increase annual incremental construction land quota moderately,and at the same time,strengthen the threshold of the newly increased construction land.