中南大学学报：社会科学版
中南大學學報：社會科學版
중남대학학보：사회과학판
Journal of Central South Huiversity: Social Science
2015年
2期
109~117
,共null页
人口年龄结构 预期寿命 居民消费率 动态面板 GMM估计
人口年齡結構 預期壽命 居民消費率 動態麵闆 GMM估計
인구년령결구 예기수명 거민소비솔 동태면판 GMM고계
population age structure; life expectancy; household consumption rate; dynamic panel data; GMMestimation
利用中国1997-2012年的省级面板数据和动态面板GMM估计方法，考察了人口年龄结构、预期寿命对居民消费率的影响。结果发现，人口年龄结构、预期寿命对居民消费率有显著影响，但具有很大的区域性。东中西部地区比较表明：少儿抚养比对居民消费率的影响由大到小为东部、中部、西部；老年抚养比对居民消费率影响由大到小为西部、中部、东部；预期寿命对居民消费率的影响由大到小为东部、西部、中部。
利用中國1997-2012年的省級麵闆數據和動態麵闆GMM估計方法，攷察瞭人口年齡結構、預期壽命對居民消費率的影響。結果髮現，人口年齡結構、預期壽命對居民消費率有顯著影響，但具有很大的區域性。東中西部地區比較錶明：少兒撫養比對居民消費率的影響由大到小為東部、中部、西部；老年撫養比對居民消費率影響由大到小為西部、中部、東部；預期壽命對居民消費率的影響由大到小為東部、西部、中部。
이용중국1997-2012년적성급면판수거화동태면판GMM고계방법，고찰료인구년령결구、예기수명대거민소비솔적영향。결과발현，인구년령결구、예기수명대거민소비솔유현저영향，단구유흔대적구역성。동중서부지구비교표명：소인무양비대거민소비솔적영향유대도소위동부、중부、서부；노년무양비대거민소비솔영향유대도소위서부、중부、동부；예기수명대거민소비솔적영향유대도소위동부、서부、중부。
By using panel data from Chinese provinces during the period 1997--2012, the study conducts a dynamic panel analysis of the impacts of population age structure and life expectancy on household consumption rate. The results show that population age structure and life expectancy have significant impacts on household consumption rate with huge regional characteristics. A comparison of eastern, central and western areas suggests that the descending order of the effect of child dependency ratio on household consumption rate is eastern, central and western areas, that the descending order of the effect of aging on household consumption rate is western, central and eastern areas, and that the descending order of the effect of expectancy on household consumption rate is eastern, western and central areas.
