地域研究与开发
地域研究與開髮
지역연구여개발
Areal Research and Development
2015年
2期
1~6
,共null页
经济增长 区域贡献 驱动要素 时序变化 中国
經濟增長 區域貢獻 驅動要素 時序變化 中國
경제증장 구역공헌 구동요소 시서변화 중국
economic growths regional contribution driving factors sequential change China
在对相关文献及统计数据分析的基础上对中国经济增长进行区域分解。各省份对全国经济增长贡献的差异性较大,集中度较高;各省份贡献取决于初始经济规模、平均增长速度和当期发展速度;东部地区在继续保持绝对高贡献率的情况下,经济贡献率出现了有条件地向中西部部分省份转移,宏观经济政策起到一定作用。在此基础上进一步研究影响经济增长的关键驱动要素在不同省份间的表现。结果表明:经济增长率对劳动生产率、资本存量的依赖性强且区域差异性明显,决定了各省份对全国经济增长贡献的变化;而对劳动力、第三产业发展、对外贸易依存度的依赖性较低,有条件地优化和提升这些要素将会有利于地区经济发展。
在對相關文獻及統計數據分析的基礎上對中國經濟增長進行區域分解。各省份對全國經濟增長貢獻的差異性較大,集中度較高;各省份貢獻取決于初始經濟規模、平均增長速度和噹期髮展速度;東部地區在繼續保持絕對高貢獻率的情況下,經濟貢獻率齣現瞭有條件地嚮中西部部分省份轉移,宏觀經濟政策起到一定作用。在此基礎上進一步研究影響經濟增長的關鍵驅動要素在不同省份間的錶現。結果錶明:經濟增長率對勞動生產率、資本存量的依賴性彊且區域差異性明顯,決定瞭各省份對全國經濟增長貢獻的變化;而對勞動力、第三產業髮展、對外貿易依存度的依賴性較低,有條件地優化和提升這些要素將會有利于地區經濟髮展。
재대상관문헌급통계수거분석적기출상대중국경제증장진행구역분해。각성빈대전국경제증장공헌적차이성교대,집중도교고;각성빈공헌취결우초시경제규모、평균증장속도화당기발전속도;동부지구재계속보지절대고공헌솔적정황하,경제공헌솔출현료유조건지향중서부부분성빈전이,굉관경제정책기도일정작용。재차기출상진일보연구영향경제증장적관건구동요소재불동성빈간적표현。결과표명:경제증장솔대노동생산솔、자본존량적의뢰성강차구역차이성명현,결정료각성빈대전국경제증장공헌적변화;이대노동력、제삼산업발전、대외무역의존도적의뢰성교저,유조건지우화화제승저사요소장회유리우지구경제발전。
Based on the relevant documents,this article disassembles the China's economic growth into individual region,and find that the different provinces also differs for contribution to the China's economic growth; The contribution to economic growth for every province depends on its initial economic scale,the average rate of growth and the current development speed; When the eastern areas of China continued to maintain absolute more contribution,the contribution of some provinces in central and western regions begin to increase. With the research about critical factors of economic growth in different province,we find that the economic growth rate of province relies more on the labor productivity and the capital stock,but it shows a clear difference,those two factors determine the change of the contribution to national economic growth of the provinces,and we also find that the economic growth rate of province relies less on the labor force,the development of tertiary industry and the foreign trade dependence,and it will be beneficial to local economic development with the improvement of these three factors.