地域研究与开发
地域研究與開髮
지역연구여개발
Areal Research and Development
2015年
2期
34~39
,共null页
“三化”协调发展度 空间格局演变 障碍度 县域尺度 江西省
“三化”協調髮展度 空間格跼縯變 障礙度 縣域呎度 江西省
“삼화”협조발전도 공간격국연변 장애도 현역척도 강서성
coordinated development degree of ＂three modernizations＂ evolvement of spatial pattern obstacle degree county scale Jiangxi Province
以县域单元为研究对象,从新型城镇化、新型工业化和农业现代化3个方面构建＂三化＂协调发展度评价模型,利用ESDA和GIS技术,揭示2000—2012年江西省县域＂三化＂协调发展度的空间格局演变过程,并采用障碍因子诊断模型找出阻碍江西省县域＂三化＂协调发展度提升的障碍因子。结果表明：江西省县域＂三化＂协调发展水平较低,提升潜力大;在总体空间格局上,江西省县域＂三化＂协调发展度水平具有较强的空间自相关性,相似地区集聚分布,热点区沿浙赣线和京九线（江西段）北段成带状集聚,冷点区主要向赣东南地区集聚,鄱阳湖周边地区的冷点区逐渐消失;阻碍江西省县域＂三化＂协调发展度提升的障碍因子主要表现为地均工业增加值、工业化率、城镇化率、人均社会固定资产投资额和人均农林牧渔业增加值5个方面,地均工业增加值历来是主要的障碍因子。
以縣域單元為研究對象,從新型城鎮化、新型工業化和農業現代化3箇方麵構建＂三化＂協調髮展度評價模型,利用ESDA和GIS技術,揭示2000—2012年江西省縣域＂三化＂協調髮展度的空間格跼縯變過程,併採用障礙因子診斷模型找齣阻礙江西省縣域＂三化＂協調髮展度提升的障礙因子。結果錶明：江西省縣域＂三化＂協調髮展水平較低,提升潛力大;在總體空間格跼上,江西省縣域＂三化＂協調髮展度水平具有較彊的空間自相關性,相似地區集聚分佈,熱點區沿浙贛線和京九線（江西段）北段成帶狀集聚,冷點區主要嚮贛東南地區集聚,鄱暘湖週邊地區的冷點區逐漸消失;阻礙江西省縣域＂三化＂協調髮展度提升的障礙因子主要錶現為地均工業增加值、工業化率、城鎮化率、人均社會固定資產投資額和人均農林牧漁業增加值5箇方麵,地均工業增加值歷來是主要的障礙因子。
이현역단원위연구대상,종신형성진화、신형공업화화농업현대화3개방면구건＂삼화＂협조발전도평개모형,이용ESDA화GIS기술,게시2000—2012년강서성현역＂삼화＂협조발전도적공간격국연변과정,병채용장애인자진단모형조출조애강서성현역＂삼화＂협조발전도제승적장애인자。결과표명：강서성현역＂삼화＂협조발전수평교저,제승잠력대;재총체공간격국상,강서성현역＂삼화＂협조발전도수평구유교강적공간자상관성,상사지구집취분포,열점구연절공선화경구선（강서단）북단성대상집취,랭점구주요향공동남지구집취,파양호주변지구적랭점구축점소실;조애강서성현역＂삼화＂협조발전도제승적장애인자주요표현위지균공업증가치、공업화솔、성진화솔、인균사회고정자산투자액화인균농림목어업증가치5개방면,지균공업증가치력래시주요적장애인자。
Taking the counties as research objects,this paper constructs the coordinated development degree of urbanization,industrialization and agricultural modernization（ ＂three modernizations＂） evaluation model among urbanization,industrialization and agricultural modernization. On this basis,the study uses ESDA and GIS to reveal the evolvement of spatial pattern of the coordinated development degree of ＂three modernizations＂at county level in Jiangxi Province between the year of 2000 and 2012 and identifies the factors restricting the coordinated development degree of ＂three modernizations＂by the model of obstacle degrees. The results shows that： during the study period the coordinated development degree of ＂three modernizations＂at county level in Jiangxi Province is low,and the improvement potential is large; the overall spatial coordinated development degree of ＂three modernizations＂in Jiangxi Province shows a strong trend of spatial natural correlation,the similar areas cluster in space;the distribution of hotspot is gathering to the Zhegan Railway and the north of Jingjiu Railway which is in Jiangxi Province; the distribution of coldspot is gathering to the southeast of Jiangxi,and that around Poyang Lake is disappearing; the five factors restricting the coordinated development degree of ＂three modernizations＂in Jiangxi Province mainly are ＂per ares industrial added-value＂,＂industrialization rate＂,＂urbanization rate＂,＂per capita social investment in fixed assets＂and＂per capita farming,forestry,animal husbandry and fishery added-value＂,and that,the ＂per ares industrial added-value＂is always the major factor.
