软科学
軟科學
연과학
Soft Science
2015年
4期
63~66
,共null页
环境规制 碳排放 脉冲响应 作用路径
環境規製 碳排放 脈遲響應 作用路徑
배경규제 탄배방 맥충향응 작용로경
environmental regulation; carbon emissions; impulse response; effect pathway
引入LMDI因素分解方法和VAR模型分析了环境规制对我国碳减排的作用效果和路径。结果表明：短期内环境规制对我国碳排放增量和经济总量效应具有抑制作用,对我国能源强度效应具有增强作用;长期内,环境规制能降低能源强度效应,对碳排放增量作用效果减弱直至消失。最后,提出了针对性的对策与建议。
引入LMDI因素分解方法和VAR模型分析瞭環境規製對我國碳減排的作用效果和路徑。結果錶明：短期內環境規製對我國碳排放增量和經濟總量效應具有抑製作用,對我國能源彊度效應具有增彊作用;長期內,環境規製能降低能源彊度效應,對碳排放增量作用效果減弱直至消失。最後,提齣瞭針對性的對策與建議。
인입LMDI인소분해방법화VAR모형분석료배경규제대아국탄감배적작용효과화로경。결과표명：단기내배경규제대아국탄배방증량화경제총량효응구유억제작용,대아국능원강도효응구유증강작용;장기내,배경규제능강저능원강도효응,대탄배방증량작용효과감약직지소실。최후,제출료침대성적대책여건의。
The LMDI decomposition method and VAR model are used in this paper to verify the effects and path of environmental regulation on Chinese carbon emissions. Results show that in a short term,environmental regulation suppresses the carbon emission growth and total economic output effect,but it promotes the energy intensity effect. In the long run,environmental regulation reduces energy intensity and its effect on total economic output effect will be weakened until it disappears. At last,it raises the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions.
