生态经济
生態經濟
생태경제
Ecological Economy
2015年
5期
146~149
,共null页
黄磊 邵超峰 鞠美庭 关杨 白雪
黃磊 邵超峰 鞠美庭 關楊 白雪
황뢰 소초봉 국미정 관양 백설
西北地区 水资源承载力 小城镇 发展模式
西北地區 水資源承載力 小城鎮 髮展模式
서북지구 수자원승재력 소성진 발전모식
northwest regional; WRCC; small town; development mode
西北地区水资源短缺、生态环境脆弱,有效利用水资源、提升承载能力是建设美丽西北的重要举措。文章以国家生态移民扶贫开发区红寺堡区为研究区,采用成熟的人口预测模型和水资源承载力模型结合情景分析定量评估该地区的最大水资源承载力。结果表明,到2020年协调发展模式下水资源承载力比常规发展模式和生态建设模式分别高出8.33%和6.25%,说明协调发展模式是水资源约束下红寺堡区经济社会持续发展的最优选择。最后从优化工、农业生产结构,构建节水型社会和强化水资源管理等方面提出对策。
西北地區水資源短缺、生態環境脆弱,有效利用水資源、提升承載能力是建設美麗西北的重要舉措。文章以國傢生態移民扶貧開髮區紅寺堡區為研究區,採用成熟的人口預測模型和水資源承載力模型結閤情景分析定量評估該地區的最大水資源承載力。結果錶明,到2020年協調髮展模式下水資源承載力比常規髮展模式和生態建設模式分彆高齣8.33%和6.25%,說明協調髮展模式是水資源約束下紅寺堡區經濟社會持續髮展的最優選擇。最後從優化工、農業生產結構,構建節水型社會和彊化水資源管理等方麵提齣對策。
서북지구수자원단결、생태배경취약,유효이용수자원、제승승재능력시건설미려서북적중요거조。문장이국가생태이민부빈개발구홍사보구위연구구,채용성숙적인구예측모형화수자원승재력모형결합정경분석정량평고해지구적최대수자원승재력。결과표명,도2020년협조발전모식하수자원승재력비상규발전모식화생태건설모식분별고출8.33%화6.25%,설명협조발전모식시수자원약속하홍사보구경제사회지속발전적최우선택。최후종우화공、농업생산결구,구건절수형사회화강화수자원관리등방면제출대책。
Northwest region is short of water and the ecological environment is fragile, using water resources efficiently and improving the carrying capacity is an important measure for the construction of beautiful Northwest. This paper takes Hongsipu area as the research area, and uses the mature population forecast model and WRCC model to assess the maximum carrying capacity of water resources in conventional development mode, coordinated development mode and ecological construction mode. The results show that the WRCC of coordinated development mode is 8.33% and 6.25% higher than the conventional development mode and ecological construction mode by 2020. It turns out that the coordinated development mode is the optimal choice for sustainable development of Hongsipu area under the constraints of water resources. Finally, this paper puts forward some countermeasures such as optimizing the structure of industrial and agricultural production, building of water-saving society and intensifying water management.