CAJ | 학술논문

本文根据38个国家1995-2009年间的观测数据，利用面板数据模型和工具变量法，对碳税政策的直接影响和间接影响进行实证研究，结果发现：征收碳税对造纸产业国际竞争力具有显著的直接正向影响，还通过“创新补偿”对造纸产业国际竞争力产生显著的间接促进作用；碳税政策的正面效应当期即可显现，且表现出持续发酵的特征。
본문근거38개국가1995-2009년간적관측수거，이용면판수거모형화공구변량법，대탄세정책적직접영향화간접영향진행실증연구，결과발현：정수탄세대조지산업국제경쟁력구유현저적직접정향영향，환통과“창신보상”대조지산업국제경쟁력산생현저적간접촉진작용；탄세정책적정면효응당기즉가현현，차표현출지속발효적특정。
At present, there are many simulation and prediction studies on the influence of the carbon tax policy on the industrial international competitiveness, while there are few empirical studies based on the observation data, and fewer studies on the ＂innovation compensation＂ effect of the carbon tax policy on the industrial international competitiveness by stimulating the technological in- novation. Accordingly, based on the observation data of 38 countries from 1995 to 2009, this paper implements an empirical study on the direct and indirect ef- fect of carbon tax policy by using panel data model and instrument variable method. The result shows that levying carbon tax has a significantly positive di- rect influence on the international competitiveness of the paper industry, and it al- so helps the paper industry to obtain international competitiveness via the ＂innovation compensation＂ ; the positive effect of the carbon tax policy does not have a time lag, and it shows a continuous fermentation characteristic.