南京审计学院学报
南京審計學院學報
남경심계학원학보
2015年
2期
55~62
,共null页
人口流动 城市化率 区域经济 隐形福利 户籍制度 人的城市化 新型城镇化 产业集群 区域竞争力
人口流動 城市化率 區域經濟 隱形福利 戶籍製度 人的城市化 新型城鎮化 產業集群 區域競爭力
인구류동 성시화솔 구역경제 은형복리 호적제도 인적성시화 신형성진화 산업집군 구역경쟁력
population flow; rate of urbanization; regional economy; invisible welfare; household registration system; urbanization; new urbanization; industrial cluster; regional competitiveness
以常住、户籍人口为基础计算人口流动率,基于非农产值及其就业所占比重构建工业化衡量指标,测度2000—2012年我国人口流动、城市化与工业化的变化趋势,并建立面板协整模型对三者之间的长期均衡关系进行估计和检验。结果显示：从纵向看,我国人口流动、城市化与工业化均呈不断上升态势,从横向看,区域差异非常明显;流动人口与城市化、城市化与工业化之间存在长期稳定的协整关系,流动人口增加可提高城市化水平,城市化水平的提高又对工业化有着显著正向作用;人口流动仅仅是提高了＂城市化率＂这一指标,真正的＂人的城市化＂水平有待提高;各地区的城市化与工业化偏差在一定程度上解释了城市化对工业化的影响存在区域差异这一现象。
以常住、戶籍人口為基礎計算人口流動率,基于非農產值及其就業所佔比重構建工業化衡量指標,測度2000—2012年我國人口流動、城市化與工業化的變化趨勢,併建立麵闆協整模型對三者之間的長期均衡關繫進行估計和檢驗。結果顯示：從縱嚮看,我國人口流動、城市化與工業化均呈不斷上升態勢,從橫嚮看,區域差異非常明顯;流動人口與城市化、城市化與工業化之間存在長期穩定的協整關繫,流動人口增加可提高城市化水平,城市化水平的提高又對工業化有著顯著正嚮作用;人口流動僅僅是提高瞭＂城市化率＂這一指標,真正的＂人的城市化＂水平有待提高;各地區的城市化與工業化偏差在一定程度上解釋瞭城市化對工業化的影響存在區域差異這一現象。
이상주、호적인구위기출계산인구류동솔,기우비농산치급기취업소점비중구건공업화형량지표,측도2000—2012년아국인구류동、성시화여공업화적변화추세,병건립면판협정모형대삼자지간적장기균형관계진행고계화검험。결과현시：종종향간,아국인구류동、성시화여공업화균정불단상승태세,종횡향간,구역차이비상명현;류동인구여성시화、성시화여공업화지간존재장기은정적협정관계,류동인구증가가제고성시화수평,성시화수평적제고우대공업화유착현저정향작용;인구류동부부시제고료＂성시화솔＂저일지표,진정적＂인적성시화＂수평유대제고;각지구적성시화여공업화편차재일정정도상해석료성시화대공업화적영향존재구역차이저일현상。
On the basis of the calculation of flow rate of population based on a permanent domicile population and the construction of industrialization indicators based on non-agricultural production value and employment proportion,we make a research on the change trend in China＇s floating population,urbanization and industrialization from 2000 to 2012 and establish a panel integration model to estimate and test the long-term equilibrium relationship among the three. The results show that：from the vertical perspective,there exists a rising trend in China＇s floating population,urbanization and industrialization; from the lateral view,there exists a clear regional difference; there is a long-run integration relationship between floating population and urbanization,between urbanization and industrialization,the increase of floating population can improve the level of urbanization,which has a significant and positive effect on industrialization. Population mobility can only improve the index of urbanization rate,and the real＂urbanization＂level needs to be improved; the deviation of urbanization and industrialization in different areas,to a certain extent,explains the fact that there exists a regional difference as far as the effect of urbanization on industrialization is concerned.
