CAJ | 학술논문

通过访谈确定各省的＂大市＂和＂小市＂的划分,采用1993-2012年间13个省份重要地级市市委书记的详细信息以及城市经济增长的数据,系统考察了这些市委书记在不那么重要的地级市的任职经历是否以及如何影响其职务晋升。本文建立一个简要的省委领导效用模型,把影响晋升因素分为＂能力＂和＂关系＂两部分,研究重要地级市市委书记职务晋升的逻辑,研究发现,这些市委书记的＂小市经历＂总体上对获得更好的晋升有促进作用,不受官员政治联系和政绩表现的影响;＂能力＂与＂关系＂都是职务调动的重要影响因素,但＂小市经历＂比政绩更能体现市委书记的能力。
통과방담학정각성적＂대시＂화＂소시＂적화분,채용1993-2012년간13개성빈중요지급시시위서기적상세신식이급성시경제증장적수거,계통고찰료저사시위서기재불나요중요적지급시적임직경력시부이급여하영향기직무진승。본문건립일개간요적성위령도효용모형,파영향진승인소분위＂능력＂화＂관계＂량부분,연구중요지급시시위서기직무진승적라집,연구발현,저사시위서기적＂소시경력＂총체상대획득경호적진승유촉진작용,불수관원정치련계화정적표현적영향;＂능력＂여＂관계＂도시직무조동적중요영향인소,단＂소시경력＂비정적경능체현시위서기적능력。
This paper builds a simple model that characterizes the utility of provincial leaders with two factors of＂capability＂and＂connections＂,classifies Chinese cities into＂major＂and＂minor＂ones through interviews and employs a data set of 39 major and minor Chinese cities in 13 provinces about the characteristics of party secretaries and city economic growth over 1993-2013. We find that party secretaries＇＂minor city experience＂has a strong and significantly positive effect on their promotion,and the significance is never undermined by their economic performance in the cities and their political connections. Furthermore, capability and connections are both crucial factors of promotion,and the minor city experience has a larger impact than economic performance.