CAJ | 학술논문

适应依靠劳动力低成本比较优势正在发生转化的新常态,是中国对外贸易发展的主要任务。为实现到2020年中国—东盟双边贸易额达到1万亿美元的目标,以东盟为最大贸易伙伴的广西亟须考虑如何应对劳动力成本上升对其出口的影响。2003—2012年广西与东盟6国的数据表明,广西相对于东盟的劳动力成本上升。进一步通过混合面板数据模型进行检验发现,广西的劳动力成本上升导致其对东盟的出口下降。为应对劳动力成本上升对广西面向东盟出口的影响,应采取出口结构升级、市场多元化、创新驱动、投资带动、发展促进、出口便利化等对策。
괄응의고노동력저성본비교우세정재발생전화적신상태,시중국대외무역발전적주요임무。위실현도2020년중국—동맹쌍변무역액체도1만억미원적목표,이동맹위최대무역화반적엄서극수고필여하응대노동력성본상승대기출구적영향。2003—2012년엄서여동맹6국적수거표명,엄서상대우동맹적노동력성본상승。진일보통과혼합면판수거모형진행검험발현,엄서적노동력성본상승도치기대동맹적출구하강。위응대노동력성본상승대엄서면향동맹출구적영향,응채취출구결구승급、시장다원화、창신구동、투자대동、발전촉진、출구편리화등대책。
The main task of Chinese foreign trade development is to adapt to the new constant state that the comparative advantage of relying on low labor costs is changing. To achieve the target of US $ 1 trillion of bilateral trade between China and ASEAN by 2020,Guangxi must consider urgently how to cope with the impact of rising labor costs on its exportation to ASEAN,the biggest trade partner of the region. The data of Guangxi and the six countries of ASEAN from 2003 to 2012 reveals that labor costs in Guangxi is growing in comparing to that of ASEAN. This paper further examines through mixing panel data model and finds out that the rising labor costs in Guangxi leads to the decline of its exportation to ASEAN. In order to cope with the impact of rising labor costs on its exports to ASEAN,Guangxi should take such countermeasures as upgrading the exportation structure,market diversification,innovation,investment,development to drive the economy,facilitation for exportation etc..