金融监管研究
金融鑑管研究
금융감관연구
FINANCIAL REGULATION
2015年
2期
10~32
,共null页
肖杰 罗雪飞 彭育贤 覃兆勇 张炎涛 欧文 袁康安
肖傑 囉雪飛 彭育賢 覃兆勇 張炎濤 歐文 袁康安
초걸 라설비 팽육현 담조용 장염도 구문 원강안
利率调控体系 政策利率 市场基准利率 利率走廊
利率調控體繫 政策利率 市場基準利率 利率走廊
리솔조공체계 정책리솔 시장기준리솔 리솔주랑
The Interest Rate Regulation System; Key Policy Rate; Benchmark Interest Rate; Interest RateCorridor
基于美国、日本、加拿大、印度等国的案例分析表明,利率调控转型宜采取渐进式,并与利率市场化进程协调一致;市场基准利率主要集中于隔夜同业拆借利率和市场回购利率,且大都为实际成交利率;央行关键政策利率品种和期限一般会随着经济金融条件的变化而变化,过多的政策利率不利于货币政策传导。对于我国利率调控体系的实证研究表明:与美国、日本等国家传统的公开市场操作模式相比,利率走廊调控模式更适合我国,央行7天逆回购利率和隔夜市场回购定盘利率分别是我国关键政策利率和市场基准利率的理想选择,走廊宽度在200个基点左右的非对称利率走廊效果较好。最后,本文提出了过渡期和中后期利率走廊调控的具体方案及相关配套措施。
基于美國、日本、加拿大、印度等國的案例分析錶明,利率調控轉型宜採取漸進式,併與利率市場化進程協調一緻;市場基準利率主要集中于隔夜同業拆藉利率和市場迴購利率,且大都為實際成交利率;央行關鍵政策利率品種和期限一般會隨著經濟金融條件的變化而變化,過多的政策利率不利于貨幣政策傳導。對于我國利率調控體繫的實證研究錶明:與美國、日本等國傢傳統的公開市場操作模式相比,利率走廊調控模式更適閤我國,央行7天逆迴購利率和隔夜市場迴購定盤利率分彆是我國關鍵政策利率和市場基準利率的理想選擇,走廊寬度在200箇基點左右的非對稱利率走廊效果較好。最後,本文提齣瞭過渡期和中後期利率走廊調控的具體方案及相關配套措施。
기우미국、일본、가나대、인도등국적안례분석표명,리솔조공전형의채취점진식,병여리솔시장화진정협조일치;시장기준리솔주요집중우격야동업탁차리솔화시장회구리솔,차대도위실제성교리솔;앙행관건정책리솔품충화기한일반회수착경제금융조건적변화이변화,과다적정책리솔불리우화폐정책전도。대우아국리솔조공체계적실증연구표명:여미국、일본등국가전통적공개시장조작모식상비,리솔주랑조공모식경괄합아국,앙행7천역회구리솔화격야시장회구정반리솔분별시아국관건정책리솔화시장기준리솔적이상선택,주랑관도재200개기점좌우적비대칭리솔주랑효과교호。최후,본문제출료과도기화중후기리솔주랑조공적구체방안급상관배투조시。
The experiences of United States, Japan, Canada and India show that the interest rate policy transformation should be gradual and be coordinated with the process of interest rates liberalization. The market benchmark interest rates are mainly the overnight interbank interest rate and market repo rate and mostly the actual trading rate. The types and maturities of key policy interest rates for the central bank generally vary with the economic and financial conditions. Too many policy rates are not conducive to the monetary policy transmissions. The empirical analysis on the interest rate policy of China shows that compared with the traditional open market operation system in the United States, Japan and other countries, the interest rate corridor is more suitable for China. The 7 days reverse repo rate and overnight fixing repo rate are respectively the optimal potential candidate for the key policy interest rate and the benchmark interest rate in China, and the optimal interest rate corridor is asymmetric with 200 basis points. Finally, we propose a concrete scheme and relevant measures of the interest rate corridor for the transitional period as well as the later stage.