CAJ | 학술논문

在理性人假设下构建了分析框架,从成本和收益两个角度提出了影响农户采用＂碳汇模式＂意愿的可能因素。主要采用Logistic模型,利用浙江省临安和安吉两个县市的209个调查样本,对理论分析进行了实证检验。分析结果表明：家庭非农产业就业人数越多、非农收入占家庭收入比例越高,农户越不愿意采用＂碳汇模式＂;把＂材用林＂作为对照组,经营＂笋材两用林＂的农户与＂碳汇模式＂采用意愿正相关,经营＂笋用林＂的农户与之负相关,说明引起劳动投入以及机会成本增加的因素,会降低农户采用＂碳汇模式＂的意愿。竹林经营面积与竹林收入占家庭收入比例两个变量没有通过显著性检验,说明农户对竹林的可持续经营等问题重视不够等主要结论。同时,提出了相关的政策建议。
재이성인가설하구건료분석광가,종성본화수익량개각도제출료영향농호채용＂탄회모식＂의원적가능인소。주요채용Logistic모형,이용절강성림안화안길량개현시적209개조사양본,대이론분석진행료실증검험。분석결과표명：가정비농산업취업인수월다、비농수입점가정수입비례월고,농호월불원의채용＂탄회모식＂;파＂재용림＂작위대조조,경영＂순재량용림＂적농호여＂탄회모식＂채용의원정상관,경영＂순용림＂적농호여지부상관,설명인기노동투입이급궤회성본증가적인소,회강저농호채용＂탄회모식＂적의원。죽림경영면적여죽림수입점가정수입비례량개변량몰유통과현저성검험,설명농호대죽림적가지속경영등문제중시불구등주요결론。동시,제출료상관적정책건의。
Construct an analysis framework under the assumption of economic man, and present pos- sible factors from the two aspects of cost and income to affect the willingness of farmers to adopt the ＂carbon sink model＂. The main method of the empirical test on the theoretical analysis is of Logistic analysis method by 209 samples from Lin＇an City and Anji county, Zhejiang province. The main con- clusions are of the following, more are the non-agricultural employment people in the family, or the higher is non-agricultural income accounted, less willingness the farmers are to adopt the ＂carbon sink model＂ ; contract the group of ＂bamboo for wood＂, more willing the group of ＂bamboo for wood and shoots＂ are to accept the model, and less willing the group of ＂bamboo for shoots＂ are to accept the model, the above prove that more labor input and opportunity cost will decrease farmer＇s willing to adopt the ＂carbon sink model＂. The two variables of bamboo forest area and the proportion of bamboo income accounted of family income don＇t pass the significance test, show that farmers＇ attention on the bamboo forest sustainable management issues is not Finally, put forward relevant policy suggestions. enough , and draw some other main conclusions.