CAJ | 학술논문

农业劳动力转移促进了农民增收并推动农村和城市经济社会发展,但也带来了农村劳动力资源流失问题。当转移劳动力边际生产率大于零时,转移会减少农村总产出。通过模型分析了农业劳动力转移对社会整体产出的影响,从农业劳动力转移数量应有合理规模的视角,对四川省这一劳动力转移和农业生产大省进行了实证研究,发现四川农业产出随转移数量变化呈现出分阶段特点,分析认为2004年是转折点,转移规模达到了合理水平,此后增加的转移量对农业生产影响较大,建议四川农业劳动力转移规模应得到合理控制,以确保粮食主产区的粮食安全。
농업노동력전이촉진료농민증수병추동농촌화성시경제사회발전,단야대래료농촌노동력자원류실문제。당전이노동력변제생산솔대우령시,전이회감소농촌총산출。통과모형분석료농업노동력전이대사회정체산출적영향,종농업노동력전이수량응유합리규모적시각,대사천성저일노동력전이화농업생산대성진행료실증연구,발현사천농업산출수전이수량변화정현출분계단특점,분석인위2004년시전절점,전이규모체도료합리수평,차후증가적전이량대농업생산영향교대,건의사천농업노동력전이규모응득도합리공제,이학보양식주산구적양식안전。
The transfer of rural labor can help increase farmers＇ income and promote social-economic development of urban and rural area,whereas it also causes labor loss in rural area. It is stated that the labor migration is certain to reduce aggregate output of rural area if marginal productivity of the transferred labor force is above zero. This paper aims to analyze the impact of rural labor transfer upon the whole society by using mathematical modeling. An empirical research is also conducted on Szechwan province which is typical in terms of agricultural production and rural labor migration,based on the perspective that the transfer of rural labor is supposed to stabilize on a reasonable scale. The research finds that the agricultural output of Szechuan province features a variation by stages along with the changes in the transferred amount of rural labor. It also analyzes that the year 2004 is an inflection point,in which rural labor transfer achieves a reasonable scale and after which any increase in the quantity of transferred labor will bring negative influence on agricultural production. Thereby,it is concluded that rural labor transfer in Szechuan province should be controlled in a reasonable scale so as to ensure the food security as a major grain producing area.