人口与发展
人口與髮展
인구여발전
Market & Demographic Analysis
2015年
1期
22~31
,共null页
谭苏华 朱宇 林李月 杨中燕
譚囌華 硃宇 林李月 楊中燕
담소화 주우 림리월 양중연
消费 流动人口 影响因素 逐步回归法
消費 流動人口 影響因素 逐步迴歸法
소비 류동인구 영향인소 축보회귀법
urban consumption ; the floating population ; determinants ; stepwise regression
利用2012年全国流动人口动态监测调查数据,分析了流动人口家庭的城市消费现状。流动人口家庭的城市生活虽已迈入小康阶段,但呈现低消费、高积累的特征,他们的消费弱势地位集中体现在发展享受型消费上。利用逐步回归方法探究了流动人口家庭城市消费的影响因素。收入、人力资本与流动人口家庭的城市消费水平呈正相关;制度约束和汇款行为阻碍了其城市消费水平的提升;流动人口家庭的城市消费呈现“倒U型”生命周期特征;户主为在婚者、女性和新生代的家庭其消费能力强于户主为单身者、男性和老生代的家庭。基于研究结论,提出了改善流动人口家庭城市生活的建议。
利用2012年全國流動人口動態鑑測調查數據,分析瞭流動人口傢庭的城市消費現狀。流動人口傢庭的城市生活雖已邁入小康階段,但呈現低消費、高積纍的特徵,他們的消費弱勢地位集中體現在髮展享受型消費上。利用逐步迴歸方法探究瞭流動人口傢庭城市消費的影響因素。收入、人力資本與流動人口傢庭的城市消費水平呈正相關;製度約束和彙款行為阻礙瞭其城市消費水平的提升;流動人口傢庭的城市消費呈現“倒U型”生命週期特徵;戶主為在婚者、女性和新生代的傢庭其消費能力彊于戶主為單身者、男性和老生代的傢庭。基于研究結論,提齣瞭改善流動人口傢庭城市生活的建議。
이용2012년전국류동인구동태감측조사수거,분석료류동인구가정적성시소비현상。류동인구가정적성시생활수이매입소강계단,단정현저소비、고적루적특정,타문적소비약세지위집중체현재발전향수형소비상。이용축보회귀방법탐구료류동인구가정성시소비적영향인소。수입、인력자본여류동인구가정적성시소비수평정정상관;제도약속화회관행위조애료기성시소비수평적제승;류동인구가정적성시소비정현“도U형”생명주기특정;호주위재혼자、녀성화신생대적가정기소비능력강우호주위단신자、남성화로생대적가정。기우연구결론,제출료개선류동인구가정성시생활적건의。
Based on data from the National Floating Population's Dynamic Monitoring Survey in 2012, this paper analyzes the current situation of urban consumption of the floating population's families. The results suggest that although the floating population's lives in the cities have reached a well - off stage, they are still characterized by low - level consumption and high - lev- el saving, and their weak position in consumption in comparison to local urban residents isparticularly reflected in the low- level development- and- enjoyment- oriented consumption. The paper then uses the stepwise regression method to examine factors affecting the floating population's family consumption. The results show that the floating population's income level and human capital are positively related to the urban consumption of their families, but their remit- tances and institutional constraints restrain the increase of their urban consumption. The urban consumption level of married members of the floating population and families of the floating pop- ulation with female and new generational members as the household heads is higher than that of their unmarried counterparts and those families with male and older generational members as their household heads. Moreover, urban consumption of the floating population exhibits an in- verted U - shaped life - cycle pattern. On the basis of the above findings, we put forward some suggestions for policy making to improve the floating population's family lives in the cities.