CAJ | 학술논문

基于江西省农民专业合作社414户农户的调研数据,通过构建二元Logistic模型,实证分析合作社农户履约行为的影响因素。结果表明：文化程度、农产品价格波动程度、村到乡镇的距离、政府扶持、入社后农业生产技术水平、合作社是否投资农业设施、有无盈利返还、合作社对社员违约的处罚力度、合同中有无违约处罚条款与农户履约行为正相关;家庭劳动力个数、入社农产品占家庭收入比重、农产品投入费用、基础设施与农户履约行为负相关,而农户的年龄与性别对其履约行为影响不显著;从事瓜果蔬菜与养殖类农产品生产的农户,其履约可能性更高;为提高合作社社员履约率,提出了针对性的对策与建议。
기우강서성농민전업합작사414호농호적조연수거,통과구건이원Logistic모형,실증분석합작사농호리약행위적영향인소。결과표명：문화정도、농산품개격파동정도、촌도향진적거리、정부부지、입사후농업생산기술수평、합작사시부투자농업설시、유무영리반환、합작사대사원위약적처벌력도、합동중유무위약처벌조관여농호리약행위정상관;가정노동력개수、입사농산품점가정수입비중、농산품투입비용、기출설시여농호리약행위부상관,이농호적년령여성별대기리약행위영향불현저;종사과과소채여양식류농산품생산적농호,기리약가능성경고;위제고합작사사원리약솔,제출료침대성적대책여건의。
With survey data collected from 414 farmers of professional farmers cooperatives in JiangxiProvince, an empirical study was conducted to study the factors affecting farmers fulfilling the contracts throughthe construction of a two-element Logistic model.The results showed that：Education,price fluctuations of agri-cultural products ,the distance between the village and the town, government support, changes in agriculturaltechnologies after joining the co-operatives, agricultural cooperatives＇ investment in agricultural facilities, profitreturn, penalties clauses and penalties for members of cooperatives who have violated contract terms are posi-tively related to the behaviors infulfillingthe contracts. Household number of laborers, ratio of agricultural in-come to total revenue, agricultural input cost and infrastructure are negatively related while age and genderhave not significant influence;Fruit and vegetable farmers are more likely to fulfill the contract;In order to im-prove the rate of farmers fulfilling the contracts, some countermeasures and suggestions were put forward.