CAJ | 학술논문

运用回归预测和灰色预测构建操作成本三角模糊数,借鉴其他学者的油价预测研究成果得到原油价格三角模糊数,再进一步构建基于利润最大化、产量最大化和成本最小化三大目标下的模糊优化模型,利用隶属度函数进行求解,最后通过某油田分公司进行实例应用,得到不同目标条件下的最优产量分配方案。结果表明,有效的原油产量规划将提高企业利润和产量,降低成本。
운용회귀예측화회색예측구건조작성본삼각모호수,차감기타학자적유개예측연구성과득도원유개격삼각모호수,재진일보구건기우리윤최대화、산량최대화화성본최소화삼대목표하적모호우화모형,이용대속도함수진행구해,최후통과모유전분공사진행실례응용,득도불동목표조건하적최우산량분배방안。결과표명,유효적원유산량규화장제고기업리윤화산량,강저성본。
The research deals with how to build operation cost of triangular fuzzy number by using regression prediction and the gray prediction, to get the price of crude oil triangular fuzzy numbers on the basis of price prediction research achievements of other scholars, to further construct fuzzy optimization model under the goals of profit maximization, yield and cost minimization and find the solution by using membership function. It finally gets optimal production schemes under different conditions by the practical application on a certain oilfield branch. The results show that the effective production planning will increase production, profits and reduce costs.