CAJ | 학술논문

合理的城市格局是区域经济发展的重要保障,也是经济社会改革过程中的主要内容。在区域经济学中,城市首位度是关于城市规模分布的重要理论,特别是对于大城市在区域发展中的地位,首位度是较为权威的衡量标准。本文通过引入首位度这一概念,建立非线性的门槛回归模型,从定量的角度分析城市首位度在不同阶段对区域经济增长的不同贡献效应,从而确定江西中心城市的最优规模,提出江西应坚持一体化、多核化的城市发展模式,要打破区域壁垒促进省域中心城市合作,并在城市创新能力、城市发展环境方面实现城市体制改革。
합리적성시격국시구역경제발전적중요보장,야시경제사회개혁과정중적주요내용。재구역경제학중,성시수위도시관우성시규모분포적중요이론,특별시대우대성시재구역발전중적지위,수위도시교위권위적형량표준。본문통과인입수위도저일개념,건립비선성적문함회귀모형,종정량적각도분석성시수위도재불동계단대구역경제증장적불동공헌효응,종이학정강서중심성시적최우규모,제출강서응견지일체화、다핵화적성시발전모식,요타파구역벽루촉진성역중심성시합작,병재성시창신능력、성시발전배경방면실현성시체제개혁。
The reasonable city scale is an important guarantee for regional economic development as well as the main content in the process of economic and social reform. In regional economics, urban primacy ratio is an important theory of city scale distri- bution. Particularly, the primacy ratio is a more authoritative measuring standard for metropolitan status in regional develop- ment. By introducing the concept of primacy ratio, this paper introduced the concept of primacy ratio, established a nonlinear threshold regression model, and analyzed the different contribution effects on economic growth in different development stages from the quantitative point of view, in order to determine the optimal scale of Jiangxi central city, proposed that Jiangxi should adhere to the integrated and multicore urban development mode, break the regional barriers to promote provincial central city cooperation, and realize the city system reform in the city innovation and city development environment.