西部论坛
西部論罈
서부론단
West Forum
2015年
3期
1~8
,共null页
农业转移人口 市民化决策 农民工 转户迁移 流而不迁 户籍制度改革 城乡差异 成本收益理论
農業轉移人口 市民化決策 農民工 轉戶遷移 流而不遷 戶籍製度改革 城鄉差異 成本收益理論
농업전이인구 시민화결책 농민공 전호천이 류이불천 호적제도개혁 성향차이 성본수익이론
agricultural migration population;citizenization decision-making;peasant-worker;the transfer of registered permanent residence;migration without transfer;reform of the household register system;rural-urban differences;cost-income theory
借鉴成本收益理论，基于农业转移人口市民化意愿和经济理性的微观视角，构建我国农业转移人口市民化微观决策机制理论模型，并根据在重庆进行的实地调查数据进行实证检验。研究表明：农业转移人口在城市就业创业收入及其社会网络、文化程度以及农业生产成本和农村建房成本与转户迁移人数正相关，而城市劳动力素质、城市住房价格、城市日常生活开支与转户迁移人数负相关。农业转移人口在城市稳定就业后，根据转户迁移的收益与成本评估进行市民化决策，只有收益大于成本时才进行转户迁移；否则会继续“流而不迁”或返回农村。因此，仅仅拆除城乡户籍制度的藩篱并不能促成农业转移人口的快速市民化，还必须有效提高农民转户迁移的收益，并降低其成本。
藉鑒成本收益理論，基于農業轉移人口市民化意願和經濟理性的微觀視角，構建我國農業轉移人口市民化微觀決策機製理論模型，併根據在重慶進行的實地調查數據進行實證檢驗。研究錶明：農業轉移人口在城市就業創業收入及其社會網絡、文化程度以及農業生產成本和農村建房成本與轉戶遷移人數正相關，而城市勞動力素質、城市住房價格、城市日常生活開支與轉戶遷移人數負相關。農業轉移人口在城市穩定就業後，根據轉戶遷移的收益與成本評估進行市民化決策，隻有收益大于成本時纔進行轉戶遷移；否則會繼續“流而不遷”或返迴農村。因此，僅僅拆除城鄉戶籍製度的藩籬併不能促成農業轉移人口的快速市民化，還必鬚有效提高農民轉戶遷移的收益，併降低其成本。
차감성본수익이론，기우농업전이인구시민화의원화경제이성적미관시각，구건아국농업전이인구시민화미관결책궤제이론모형，병근거재중경진행적실지조사수거진행실증검험。연구표명：농업전이인구재성시취업창업수입급기사회망락、문화정도이급농업생산성본화농촌건방성본여전호천이인수정상관，이성시노동력소질、성시주방개격、성시일상생활개지여전호천이인수부상관。농업전이인구재성시은정취업후，근거전호천이적수익여성본평고진행시민화결책，지유수익대우성본시재진행전호천이；부칙회계속“류이불천”혹반회농촌。인차，부부탁제성향호적제도적번리병불능촉성농업전이인구적쾌속시민화，환필수유효제고농민전호천이적수익，병강저기성본。
Borrowing cost？income theory, a micro decision-making mechanism model of agricultural population’ s citizenization is designed in the perspective of the willingness of agricultural population ’ s citizenization and economic rationality, and according to the survey data of Chongqing, the empirical test is implemented. The research shows that there is positive correlation between the income of the migration population, social network, education level, agricultural production cost, rural house construction cost and the number of migration population;there is negative correlation between urban labor force quality, urban housing price, urban daily cost and the number of migration population. After the migration population are employed stably, decision of citizenization is made according to the cost and income of migration. Only if the income excesses the cost, the migration is implemented;if not, the migration population will go back to countryside. Therefore, only removing the barrier of registration system of the urban and rural areas cannot accelerate citizenization. In addition, the income of migration population should be added and the cost should be cut.
