CAJ | 학술논문

推进城镇化是增加我国农村消费需求，扩大内需的重要突破口。采用2002—2012年我国省际面板数据考察城镇化、农村人口结构、消费结构升级等因素对农村居民消费的影响，结果表明：城镇化对农村居民消费增长具有显著的促进作用，且存在地区差异，东部地区城镇化对农村居民消费增长的作用大于西部地区；城镇化对我国农村居民消费的影响存在显著的单一门槛效应，门槛估计值为0．589，在城镇化水平高（大于0．589）的地区，城镇化对农村居民消费的促进作用更大，但目前我国大部分省区的城镇化水平还未达到门槛值。应进一步加快我国城镇化进程，尤其是中西部次发达地区的城镇化进程，充分发挥城镇化对农村居民消费的促进作用。
추진성진화시증가아국농촌소비수구，확대내수적중요돌파구。채용2002—2012년아국성제면판수거고찰성진화、농촌인구결구、소비결구승급등인소대농촌거민소비적영향，결과표명：성진화대농촌거민소비증장구유현저적촉진작용，차존재지구차이，동부지구성진화대농촌거민소비증장적작용대우서부지구；성진화대아국농촌거민소비적영향존재현저적단일문함효응，문함고계치위0．589，재성진화수평고（대우0．589）적지구，성진화대농촌거민소비적촉진작용경대，단목전아국대부분성구적성진화수평환미체도문함치。응진일보가쾌아국성진화진정，우기시중서부차발체지구적성진화진정，충분발휘성진화대농촌거민소비적촉진작용。
The promotion of urbanization in China is proposed to expand rural consumption demand as well as be an important breakthrough to increase domestic demand. This article empirically analyzes effects of urbanization, population structure, consumption structure upgrading on the rural consumption by using the provincial panel data of China over the period 2002-2012. The findings show that urbanization process is positively related to rural consumption with regional difference that there is greater impact of urbanization on rural consumption in the East than that in the West. Another finding is that there is significant single threshold effect of urbanization on rural consumption and the threshold estimation is 0.589. In the regions with high level of urbanization（〉0.589） , there is greater impact of urbanization on rural consumption, but majority of provinces in China haven ’ t reached the threshold value. This paper proposes that it is necessary to further accelerate the urbanization process in China especially in undeveloped regions like the central and western regions and to give full play of the urbanization to rural consumption.