生态经济
生態經濟
생태경제
Ecological Economy
2015年
6期
59~64
,共null页
贸易开放度 金融发展 能源消耗 碳排放 经济增长
貿易開放度 金融髮展 能源消耗 碳排放 經濟增長
무역개방도 금융발전 능원소모 탄배방 경제증장
trade openness; financial development; energy consumption; carbon emission; economic growth
当前环境问题日益受到人们的关注,其中温室气体排放是近年来国际社会关注的重点之一.温室气体减排与对外贸易、金融发展等主要变量之间的关联性尚未得到深入研究.利用1982~2011年的数据对碳排放、对外贸易、金融发展、能源消耗、经济增长等主要影响因素之间的关系进行实证研究,通过ARDL边限检验法对各个变量之间的长期协整关系进行检验,得出长期关系和短期误差修正模型.研究结果表明金融深化对碳排放的影响是非线性倒U型关系,能源消耗与碳排放量之间呈正相关关系,经济增长与碳排放量之间的关系满足环境库兹涅茨曲线,贸易开放与排放量之间呈负相关关系,对外贸易并未引起污染转移.中国应该积极参与国际分工,推动金融向有益于碳减排的方向发展.
噹前環境問題日益受到人們的關註,其中溫室氣體排放是近年來國際社會關註的重點之一.溫室氣體減排與對外貿易、金融髮展等主要變量之間的關聯性尚未得到深入研究.利用1982~2011年的數據對碳排放、對外貿易、金融髮展、能源消耗、經濟增長等主要影響因素之間的關繫進行實證研究,通過ARDL邊限檢驗法對各箇變量之間的長期協整關繫進行檢驗,得齣長期關繫和短期誤差脩正模型.研究結果錶明金融深化對碳排放的影響是非線性倒U型關繫,能源消耗與碳排放量之間呈正相關關繫,經濟增長與碳排放量之間的關繫滿足環境庫玆涅茨麯線,貿易開放與排放量之間呈負相關關繫,對外貿易併未引起汙染轉移.中國應該積極參與國際分工,推動金融嚮有益于碳減排的方嚮髮展.
당전배경문제일익수도인문적관주,기중온실기체배방시근년래국제사회관주적중점지일.온실기체감배여대외무역、금융발전등주요변량지간적관련성상미득도심입연구.이용1982~2011년적수거대탄배방、대외무역、금융발전、능원소모、경제증장등주요영향인소지간적관계진행실증연구,통과ARDL변한검험법대각개변량지간적장기협정관계진행검험,득출장기관계화단기오차수정모형.연구결과표명금융심화대탄배방적영향시비선성도U형관계,능원소모여탄배방량지간정정상관관계,경제증장여탄배방량지간적관계만족배경고자열자곡선,무역개방여배방량지간정부상관관계,대외무역병미인기오염전이.중국응해적겁삼여국제분공,추동금융향유익우탄감배적방향발전.
Nowadays more and more people pay attention to the environmental problems, among which green house gas emission is of special concern. There is no further research on the correlation between greenhouse gases emission and the main effective economic factors, such as foreign trade and financial development. The study examines the linkages among carbon emission, foreign trade, energy consumption, economic growth and financial development over the period from 1982 to 2011 in China with ARDL bounds testing approach. At last we get the long-term coefficient and short- term error correction model. The result shows that the impact of financial development on carbon emission is being the U shape, there has the positively relationship between energy consumption and carbon emissions, while the impact of the trade openness is negative for carbon emission, and foreign trade doesn't cause pollution transfer, the relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions meet the Environmental Kuznets Curve. Thus, we should actively participate in international division of labor and push forward financial development toward carbon mitigation.